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Zogby 1/18: Kerry 24, Dean 23, Gep 19, Edwards 18

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megaplayboy Donating Member (81 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-18-04 09:44 AM
Original message
Zogby 1/18: Kerry 24, Dean 23, Gep 19, Edwards 18
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=784

Not much change, except Dean is almost back to where he was a week ago. Looks like those 3500 volunteers might be having an impact.

Gonna be a photo finish...
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Foswia Donating Member (215 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-18-04 09:59 AM
Response to Original message
1. MOE
Look at the MOE, obv it shows nothing. I don't see why diff sample groups make you think the race has changed at all.
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Padraig18 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-18-04 10:17 AM
Response to Original message
2. Zogby note:
Zogby noted that Gov. Dean's numbers are rebounding; I heard this on CNN this morning. :)
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slinkerwink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-18-04 10:20 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. same here too!
Oh, god, it's going to be SUCH a nailbiting time tomorrow night!
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Padraig18 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-18-04 10:21 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. Yeah.
Just take a deep breath, darlin'; what will be will be. :)
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-18-04 10:23 AM
Response to Original message
5. I'm going to predict that whoever wins will win by a big margin.
By that I mean maybe up to 5 or 6 points in spread between first and second. There is a strong case to be made for any of the four doing this.
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Padraig18 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-18-04 10:25 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. I agree.
My gut instinct tells me that a lot of my candidate's support is not being measured: independents and first-time caucus goers. *crosses fingers* :)
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-18-04 11:41 AM
Response to Original message
7. according to Trippi
if they go into the caucuses dead even in the polls (as they are now) there gotv efforts should be able to win this thing. Remains to be seen, but I hope he is right.

Still, what a contest. All of our candidates in Iowa should be proud of their efforts.
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creativelcro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-18-04 12:53 PM
Response to Original message
8. These are apparent random fluctuations
due to the inadequacy of this polling tool.
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