Who thinks we'll take back the Senate?

[rockymountaindem]

I'd really love to see that, but now I'm not so sure it will happen. I hear we've taken some hits in the Carolinas. I thought Tennenbaum was ahead, but now I guess she's not? Now people are worried about Castor in Florida, which I kind of assumed was a lock. Is Bunning's imminent mental collapse going to win us the race in KY?

Obama's a lock. So is Salazar, and I haven't heard anything about AK that suggests that Knowles will lose. So there's 3 pickups. What about Daschle and Reid? It's gonna be disappointing if we don't win back the Senate, but I'm trying to keep my hopes up. Anyone got some good news?

[davidinalameda]

1. Reid is a lock

Daschle is still iffy

Castor depends on the Kerry turn-out

if he carries Florida, she'll win

we're going to lose South Carolina, Georgia, Louisiana, and possibly North Carolina

[rockymountaindem]

2. Georgia isn't a loss.

It's a gain in the sense that we won't have Zell bad mouthing us with his supposed "credibility" anymore. I'm not even counting that. From what I hear about Louisiana that should be interesting, but people here are confident we'll win in a runnoff, like Landrieu did.

[Jersey Devil]

3. kos thinks so, great analysis at his site - his final senate prediction

http://www.dailykos.com/

about half way down the page he predicts a 50-50 senate

[NewYorkerfromMass]

6. Direct link to kos thread

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/11/1/124514/606

He says Bunning has recovered in Kentucky. :(

[rockymountaindem]

8. That's what I heard.

Too bad about that one.

[WI_DEM]

4. Me!! Me!!

We pick up
Illinois
Colorado
Alaska
Oklahoma
Kentucky

We lose
Georgia
South Carolina

We keep:
Florida
South Dakota
North Carolina

Net gain of three seats

Kerry's seat goes to Barney Frank in a special election
and LA goes to a run-off.

[Technowitch]

5. I think we'll take it. 50 to 49, plus Jeffords.

And after the election, we MIGHT just get someone like Chaffee to come to our side...

[JLuckey]

7. Kerry's Coat tails......

I think with the turnout and people voting straight democratic in the states you can do this there will be some surprises.

[rockymountaindem]

9. Kick!