PREDICTIONS - Here's Mine

[liberalpragmatist]

Popular Vote (129,000,000 votes cast)
Kerry - 49% (63,210,000)
Bush - 48% (61,920,000)
Nader - 1%
Badnarik - 1%
Others - 1%

Electoral Vote (538 total)
Kerry - 299
Bush - 239

All the Gore states except for New Mexico and Iowa, which narrowly go to Bush. Kerry takes New Hampshire, Florida, and Ohio, holds Minnesota, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan.

Possible upsets for Kerry include Colorado, Nevada, Arizona, Missouri, Virginia, West Virginia, and Arkansas. If that 49-48 margin becomes a 5-point lead, then I expect Kerry to win much bigger.

[Free2BMe]

1. Can we please keep this post available for comparison!!!!!

[liberalpragmatist]

2. bookmark it

n/t

[Free2BMe]

3. Done...and may you be "correct"(can't use the word right.)

[billyoc]

4. I think a lot of conservatives will abandon * at the last minute.

Kerry - 52% (63,210,000)
Bush - 40% (61,920,000)
Nader - 1%
Badnarik - 4% (from *'s base)
Peroutka - 2% (from *'s base)

Kerry with 320 EV's

[ps1074]

5. NO WAY

129 million people vote.

In 2000 there were something like 105 million votes. I expect this year arround 115 million votes.

[harpo]

6. Kerry 374 / Chimp 164

You read it here first ;)

[Skittles]

7. this morning Brian Lamb mentioned a chart we could download

from CSPAN.org but I cannot find it; supposedly it can be used to chart the progress election night. Anyone know where it is?