SCREW THE REDSKINS! Dow Jones Performance Predicts Kerry Win

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Study says if the Dow loses more than 0.5% in 6 weeks before election, incumbent presidents lose.

If the historical performance of the Dow Jones industrial average is an indicator, John Kerry will be the 44th President of the United States.

According to a study by the Hirsch Organization, publishers of the Stock Trader's Almanac, if the Dow loses more than 0.5 percent of its value from the end of September to Election Day, then an incumbent president is going to lose his job. The Dow has lost 0.75 percent of its value over the past month.

This predictor has been true without exception every four years, from 1904 to the present, according to Jeffrey Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader's Almanac and president of the Hirsch Organization.

More Dow Jones statistics that predict Kerry win, and full article may be found here: http://money.cnn.com/2004/10/29/markets/election_dow/index.htm

[prodigal_green]

1. let's pray for a Redskins loss

if they win, the incumbant stays in office. See Keith Olberman's blog.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6210240/

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3. Yup!

:hi:

[elperromagico]

4. If they lose and Kerry loses, both those predictors will be shot to hell.

Let's hope they remain strong and true. :)

Lose, Redskins, Lose. Win, Kerry, Win! :D

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9. sure will

[madmax]

2. If more Democrats vote

we win. GOTV ;)

[liberal N proud]

5. Is tihis still the case with the dow up the last 3 days?

[elperromagico]

6. It would require a gain of 408 points

for it to match September levels.

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7. Yup.

[liberal N proud]

8. That dose not look likely

Now down .15