ARG POLLS : WI (K48-*47) ; Iowa (K47-*48) ; Oregon (K50-*46)

[jefferson_dem]

Kerry and Bush Remain Tied Among Likely Voters in Wisconsin

John Kerry and George W. Bush remain tied among likely voters in Wisconsin according to a survey by the American Research Group. A total of 48% of likely voters say they would vote for Kerry if the presidential election were being held today and 47% say they would vote for Bush. A total of 1% of likely voters say they would vote for Ralph Nader and 4% of likely voters are undecided.

Without Ralph Nader on the ballot, Kerry is at 48% and Bush is at 47%. In mid-October in the two-way race, Bush and Kerry were tied at 47% each.

These results are based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in Wisconsin. Of the 600 likely voters, 34% identified themselves as Republicans, 36% identified themselves as Democrats, and 30% identified themselves as independents. The interviews were conducted October 25 through 27, 2004. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/wig/


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Bush and Kerry Remain Tied Among Likely Voters in Iowa

George W. Bush and John Kerry remain tied among likely voters in Iowa according to a survey by the American Research Group. A total of 48% of likely voters say they would vote for Bush if the presidential election were being held today and 47% say they would vote for Kerry. A total of 1% of likely voters say they would vote for Ralph Nader and 4% of likely voters are undecided.

In a race between just Bush and Kerry, Bush is at 48% and Kerry is at 47%, with 7% undecided. Earlier this month, it was Bush 47% and Kerry 47% in the two-way ballot.

These results are based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in Iowa. Of the 600 likely voters, 33% are registered as Republicans, 34% are registered as Democrats, and 33% are not registered with any party or registered with a minor party. The interviews were conducted October 25 through 27, 2004. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/ia/


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Kerry Maintains Slight Lead Overs Bush Among Likely Voters in Oregon

John Kerry is maintaining a slight lead over George W. Bush among likely voters in Oregon according to a survey by the American Research Group. A total of 50% of likely voters say they would vote for Kerry if the presidential election were being held today and 46% say they would vote for Bush. A total of 4% of likely voters are undecided. In mid-October, Kerry was at 50% and Bush was at 44%.

These results are based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in Oregon. Of the 600 likely voters, 36% are registered as Republicans, 41% are registered as Democrats, and 23% are registered with a minor party or no party. The interviews were conducted October 25 through 27, 2004. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/or/