It's possible that Chimpy McFlightsuit is losing Texas!

[TexasChick]

I just saw a news brief here in Texas that early voting shows that Texas is looking more like Kerry country! Guess I'll have to watch the evening news (10:00 p.m.) to find out what's going on! I'm watching CSI: NY right now and don't usually watch the news, but I want to hear this!

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

1. WHAT???

Where are you in TX? I am in a Dallas suburb, Dallas County? Where did you hear this?

We don't do any exit polling here, so the only way they'd know is from the early voting results so far!

Please post an update when you get it!

On edit, I looked at your profile, you are in Collin County, right? What channel so I can watch it!

[Texas_Dem]

3. Dallas County where I live *might* go blue, but doubt the state will.

I do think that Texas wont be as red as it was in 2000.

[TexasChick]

5. Moonbeam_Starlight, I'm watching KTVT, Channel 11, the 10:00 news!

CSI: NY is on right now!

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

6. Ok got it on

gonna watch.

Thanks! I never watch the news!

[richmwill]

2. It would be nice...

But if Chimpy loses Texas on Election Night, I'll eat my hat.

[RevCheesehead]

12. Would you like some Heinz ketchup with your hat?

[TrustingDog]

15. how about some cattle with your hat? :)

[richmwill]

18. Hey, if it happens...

Believe me, I will ENJOY eating it- it'll be the best-tasting thing I've ever eaten. :)

[Roland99]

63. How about some Freedom Fries, too?

[meganmonkey]

17. Please post pictures of the hat-eating for us!

And try to get the pigs flying in the background!

That would be awesome, though, to win TX!

[Zing Zing Zingbah]

4. That would be so awesome if this actually happens.

[mourningdove92]

7. Oh man, what a dream that would be.

Us Texas Dems would be dancing in the streets!

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

10. Look at all of us early voting Texas Dems

and it looks like they are doing a story on that stupid Pair the Vote thing. What a scam.

But they don't always list all their stories in the blurbs.

[Arkana]

8. Uh WHA????

*eyes bug out, begins to have muscle spasms and laughs maniacally*

The sky is orange! The Dow is over 20000! George Dubya is a GREAT President! I just shit myself!

Oh wait...that last one is true.

[TexasChick]

14. Let's see what they have to say. n/t

[elperromagico]

9. It probably won't go blue this time, but Texas will become blue

within about 20 years. I'm pretty certain of that.

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

11. I'm going to say less for 20 years

for sure. Give us about eight years.

[seabeyond]

13. do tell, i did early voting in texas

they are just playing with you, surely. you know how they want you to watch

[salib]

16. WOW

So now it is Austin, Dallas and San Antonio. I think we have a real chance.

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

19. I am honestly surprised

Travis County (Austin) and Bexar County (San Antonio) WEREN'T blue in 2000, seriously.

So if they aren't this time, I'll be shocked.

Now Dallas County, Harris County and Tarrant County are in play. (Harris--Houston, Tarrant--Ft. Worth for anyone wondering). Major urban areas have gone more Dem in the last four years in this state.

We can't go by registration since you don't register by party here, BUT voter reg is way up in TX just like everywhere else.

I have the sneaking suspicion most of them are Dems.

[meg]

34. Don't forget south Texas

We have the MOST Democratic voters. Nueces County should go for Kerry. We had 8000 new voters (100,000 voted in 2000) and the new voters are voting at at tremdous rate.

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

38. Heck yeah

those south TX counties ROCK. And El Paso. And a few counties on the Louisana and Arkansas borders always go blue!

And let us not forget fearless Robertson Co, just north of Texas A&M, which has been a blue county in a sea of red for years just because they know how to get out the vote and work tirelessly at it!

[TexasChick]

20. Man, they are taking their sweet time with this story! I hate the news...

hurry up 'peoples'!

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

21. I think it's that Pair the Vote thing

they mentioned it again.

[TexasChick]

27. Yeah, you're right! FALSE ALARM, guys! Sorry!

[Lone_Star_Dem]

22. Wonderful to hear

I have a friend that works at our local paper, she said that the VERY unofficial poll they did of readers was mostly dem. It never made it to the paper so, I guess that was true! However, I just can't see it happening. The major metro areas I would believe, not the rural areas like mine. People here are so unenlightened (<-PC phrase for redneck).

[sonicx]

23. maybe not blue but...

could kerry get maybe...43% of the state?

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

24. Gore got 38%

so I don't see any reason, honestly, why Kerry couldn't get 48%.

[Lone_Star_Dem]

28. I'm think more

We were at 37% in the last poll I saw. I know that many Texans did not vote in 2000 thinking it did not matter. I feel we have worked very hard to prove that it does matter, your vote is important.

[Maestro]

25. You have got to be kidding!

That would make me have to take a day off on the 3rd just to enjoy the magnificence of that wonderful happening.

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

26. OMG

that IDIOT in Plano FELL for VotePair!!!!!

JEEZ!

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

30. Ok they were talking about how

early voter turnout is up in Dallas and Tarrant Co.

So far, 230,000 voters have voted early in Dallas Co, up 10,000 from 2000. In Tarrant Co. 213,000 people have voted early, up 12,000 from 2000 and there are still two full days of early voting left!

Interesting!

[TexasChick]

31. It could all just be baloney! I don't trust any news station currently!

Sigh, but it's okay to dream about a blue Texas, right!

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

36. Heck yeah

I'm not just dreaming about it, I am working to make it a reality, I'm just not expecting it THIS time.

Gore got 38% of the vote in TX in 2000. I am hoping Kerry takes 45-48% this time. I honestly think that is do-able. The slimy repukes who redistricted us to death have PISSED off Dems in this state and this election with its screwed up districts, just reminds us of it vividly.

I like the higher turnout numbers in Dallas and Tarrant Co! VERY encouraging indeed! Maybe that will suppress repuke turnout even more!

Wheeee!

[cjbuchanan]

29. Here is why it is looking bad for Bush in Texas

Take a look at the early voting numbers:
http://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/earlyvoting/2004/oct25.shtml

The top 6 counties as far as turn out so far are:
1. Harris
2. Dallas
3. Tarrant
4. Bexar
5. Travis

In 2000 the results for each went like this:
Harris - Bush (529,000 54%) Gore/Nader (440,000 46%)
Dallas - Bush (322,000 53%) Gore/Nader (278,000 47%)
Tarrant - Bush (286,000 61%) Gore/Nader (180,000 39%)
Bexar - Bush (215,000 52%) Gore/Nader (195,000 48%)
Travis - Bush (141,000 47%) Gore/Nader (156,000 53%)

Since Texas went 60% for Bush in 2000, you can see that most of the counties with the biggest turn out so far are the most likely to go for Kerry.

Don't get me wrong, Texas is still going to go for Bush, but if he gets under 55% here, that will be big. There are a lot of down ballot races that this could effect.

Let's hope for the best.

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

35. See, that's interesting to me

Here's why:

There was a map going around right after the 2000 election which showed every county in the nation by red or blue, Bush or Gore.

You could see your state and I studied Texas carefully. According to those numbers you gave, Gore won Travis Co. in 2000, but I don't recall that county being blue at all on the 2000 map. And I have always heard Gore got 38% of the vote in TX. If bush only got 60%, Nader must have gotten a whopping 2% (well, Nader and the libertarian and all the other wack-jobs).

That last figure does add up, sorry, I was thinking of something else.

But I wonder why that 2000 map didn't show Travis Co blue. I wondered about that because I thought SURELY that county would have gone for Gore.

I'm also greatly encouraged to see the Dallas Co. numbers from 2000. Wow. A lot of those were squeakers for bush as far as us supposedly being a solid red state!

God, this gives me such hope for my county! Yee-ha. If things are looking this bad for him here in TX (relatively speaking) I can only IMAGINE how horrific it must really look for him in swing states.

Geez.

bush? You are toast.

[TexasChick]

40. Moonbeam_Starlight, don't forget the Repukes that are voting for Kerry

here in Texas as well. Wonder how that will play out? And, Chimp's little slip-up about supporting civil unions probably drastically reduces his votes here in Texas since alot of those RW nutjobs are all over this state!

[seabeyond]

59. my husband voted bush in 2000

not this year, going kerry

[cjbuchanan]

61. Nader got around 10% in Travis

That is why I added the Gore and Nader numbers together. The only reason Travis was not Blue is that a lot of folks voted for Nader, thus allowing Bush to win.

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

42. I went to your link

and all those counties listed below Collin Co were blue in 2000!!!! Going blue again, most likely!

And on a special note: GO DENTON COUNTY!!!!!

(Little Austin of north Texas!)

[ciaobox]

46. What can we do to pump this?

Should DNC run some ads in the Dem districts? Is there anything we can do to try and snag it? What a coup!

[cjbuchanan]

62. We need to get more people to the polls in Harris and Dallas counties

Harris has the most people to vote by number, but they are only at 13.5% of total possible. Dallas is at 18%, so getting them up a few points would be wonderful.

I think Kerry has a good shot at 43%. If Bush ends up at 55%, it would be a big pick-me-up for the state Democratic party.

If you live near Harris or Dallas counties, take some time to GOTV before early voting ends on Friday.

By the by, everyone in Travis keep up the good work. Almost 25% of voters have already voted early. This is good news.

[Quixote1818]

51. I think Texans are embarised by Bush

[txindy]

55. Those of us with any sense are, yes.

;) We're also dog-tired of hearing 'B*sh' and 'Texas' in the same sentence. He's not ours! **sigh** But we will take him back here just to get him out of DC. :eyes:

[WI_DEM]

32. My fearless prediction is that Kerry will get 45% in Texas

which is a big improvment over Gore's 38%

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

37. I'm comfortable with that

I've been saying 48%--10% higher--for quite some time. 45% is doable.

[Randi_Listener]

33. Fuckee could lose his "home" state.

He's ass fucked anyhow.

[Texas_Dem]

39. Texas will be pink this time, but not red.

Where I voted this week I can say that Martin Frost had lots of presence outside the polling place. Saw a few Kerry stickers on cars in the parking lot. None for Shrub.

[texas1928]

41. Hey I did my part

So everyone get out there and vote and politic, and we can change the color of this state.

[Lone_Star_Dem]

45. Me too

But, I would like to take this moment to thank Tom DeLay and Enron for their parts in this election. :)

[texas1928]

43. Come on a Texas DUer sing-a-long

Am I blue, yes I'm blue.
It started the day I lost you.
Nobody ever missed somebody like I do.
Am I blue, am I blue.

[are_we_united_yet]

44. NO EFFIN Way!

Way?

[TexasChick]

47. No, are_we_united_yet, it was a false alarm! Sorry! It will be close

this year though!

[are_we_united_yet]

49. Damn!

It was nice to dream for the moment though.

[Silverhair]

48. Sorry, but you are dreaming. Time for a reality check. N?T

[TexasChick]

50. I wasn't dreaming at first which is why I put 'possible' in my title, but.

sigh, you're right! Now, I'm dreaming! Hey, it doesn't hurt, doesn't it! LOL!

[clspector]

52. I early voted in Travis County today

Long line and lots of conversations about whether there would be any tries at voter intimidation. (I showed my voter ID card and had no problem at all.)

In my neighborhood here in Austin, Kerry signs are 2/3 Kerry to 1/3 Bush. And no one has been vandalizing anyone's signs. Remarkably civilized.

And down ticket where I didn't have a Dem to support, I voted Libertarian, just so those Republicans had a protest vote against them.

What they did to Austin during redistricting was nothing short of a rape of our rights to be represented. If there is any justice Tom Delay will rot in jail by the end of next year.

clspector

[TexasChick]

53. That criminal has pissed alot of people off! n/t

[indigo11153]

54. Maybe

Anything is possible. There are many contested elections and other goodies on the ballots that may boost turnout. Turnout is everything. Our republican Secretary of State estimates 48% turnout. That is actually high. I expect that this guy doesn't know much and would not tell the truth if he knew it. If turnout was to reach say 55%. Texas goes BLUE! Not kidding.

[TexasChick]

56. I was wondering how much % of Dem votes would get Kerry the Texas

electoral votes. Are you saying that 55% of Dem votes would allow him to get them? That would be incredible!

[fujiyama]

57. HAHA

Now that would be sweet.

Don't see it happening though...but if Bush does win his state by say less than 55%, that'd be a good enough indication that he would have lost - granted by the time it would be called, the more important states would likely have been called.

[Mugsy]

58. Texas cities typicly blue. Rural areas typically red.

In 2000, Al Gore won the "city" of Houston, but not Harris County. Likewise, Gore won Austin.

Democrats do well in the Texas cities where people tend to be better educated and more "secular". While rural Texas where the people are spread further apart, are typicly less educated, and the only time they see each other is in church, tend to vote Red.

Right now, Kerry has about 40% of the vote in Texas.

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[0007]

60. Wouldn't that be a hoot if junior couldn't carry Texas?

Old man bush just about lost it in 92.