Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Remember the Mich Poll had Bush up by 5? Guess what - Kerry 45% Bush 44%

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
unfrigginreal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 06:48 AM
Original message
Remember the Mich Poll had Bush up by 5? Guess what - Kerry 45% Bush 44%
Edited on Wed Oct-27-04 06:49 AM by unfrigginreal
News poll puts Bush, Kerry in dead heat

Michigan results show lead is a moving target; economy remains top issue among voters

Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry and President Bush have moved into a statistical dead heat in Michigan, with the latest Detroit News tracking poll showing the same kind of volatility that has baffled pollsters and pundits nationwide in recent weeks.

The poll taken Wednesday, Thursday and Monday continues to show that jobs and the economy are overwhelmingly the top concern of Michiganians but not necessarily to the advantage of either candidate.

Kerry was the choice of 45 percent of those surveyed, Bush was at 44 percent and independent Ralph Nader was at 1 percent. Bush held a lead ranging from 3-5 points last week, according to The News� statewide survey of 600 likely voters. Other Michigan polls have shown Kerry leading by as much as 9 percentage points.

snip

Detroit News pollster Steve Mitchell said Kerry was able to erase Bush's narrow lead in last week's polls by a strong showing in Monday's survey.

It's hard to gauge what happened, but Kerry was in town (Warren) on Monday and that was touted in newspapers and news broadcasts in the Detroit area, Mitchell said.

http://www.detnews.com/2004/politics/0410/27/a01-316983.htm
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
requiem99 Donating Member (663 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 06:49 AM
Response to Original message
1. Bullshit. Pure bullshit. Michigan was never in play, period.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
unfrigginreal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 06:51 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. It worked out great though - 'genius' Rove sent chimp
to waste some time there.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Upfront Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 06:51 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. Agree NT
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 07:07 AM
Response to Reply #1
8. Yep- but you can't tell that to some DU'rs
they take some perverse pleasure in being the media's dupes and touting obviously bogus polls to freak people out.

After watching this behavior for so many months, I'm convinced it would make an excellent study that could be published in a psych journal.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 06:51 AM
Response to Original message
3. The Pollster Probably Made The Numbers Up Or Made Changed His
Methodology Midstream...


I would suspect pollsters look at other pollsters findings and make adjustments to their models if they differ greatly from other polls conducted at the same time....

We all know there's one pollster who never adjusts their model...
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Toronto Ron Donating Member (429 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 06:52 AM
Response to Original message
5. I believe this part:
b*sh will end up with about 44%.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 06:52 AM
Response to Original message
6. other polls give Kerry a healtier lead in Michigan
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
KingChicken Donating Member (814 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 06:58 AM
Response to Original message
7. Easy win for Kerry
I’m going all out here in Michigan for Kerry, we are doing are best to carry the state! I’m confident that the African American vote will pull through; there is strong support for Kerry in many metro Detroit suburbs, as well as within the city. The Bush Civil Rights record is a disgrace to our nation, all the Bushies have, at best, impeded civil rights initiatives constantly.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:49 AM
Response to Reply #7
10. Hi KingChicken!!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Jimmy D Donating Member (75 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 07:09 AM
Response to Original message
9. This is The Detroit News
Rught wing crap paper with a crap poll . Kerry is in no danger here in Michigan. Carl Rove and company are trying to have Kerry waste is time in Blue states.


Best regards
Jim
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:50 AM
Response to Reply #9
11. Hi Jimmy D!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
yellowcanine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:53 AM
Response to Original message
12. WP had a long piece about Muslim and Arab voters. They are going
Kerry by substantial numbers. Michigan has a couple of hundred thousand Muslim voters. I believe in 2000 they favored Bush.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Zen Democrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:59 AM
Response to Original message
13. When the newly registered Democrats turn out en masse ...
all these polls will be a joke. Kerry in a landslide.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Tue May 07th 2024, 10:47 PM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC