How are the Senate elections coming along?

[apnu]

all these threads about JK/JE is all very good, but who has predictions for the makeup for the Senate come Nov. 3?

[papau]

1. I think we can get to 50/50 in the Senate

I think we can get to 50/50 in the Senate, ;


While folks say we Democratic Party members face an uphill challenge to capture a majority in the Senate, I think we can get to 50/50;

After we trade two - Ill has Obama replacing GOPer Fitzgerald, and Zell is replaced in Georgia by GOPer Johnny Isakson winning over U.S. Rep. Denise Majette, we find:

In S.D., Dem Sen. Tom Daschle leads over Thune, albeit a narror lead

In Florida the Dem seat has non-charismatic but nice Castor - very slightly -leads? over charismatic but not nice GOPer Mel Martinez.

In Louisiana the Dem seat is ok if GOPer David Vitter does not get a majority in multi-person race, so that likely #2 - Dem Chris John - can beat him in Louisiana runoff a few weeks after Nov 2nd election.

In N. Carolina,The Dem seat had Dem Erskine Bowles in an early lead - but this has shrunk as GOPer Burr airs ads of Bowles with Clinton as he tries to tie Bowles to tax increases/trade with China - and claims credit for himself on the buyout for tobacco farmers.

In S. Carolina GOPer DeMint leads Dem Inez Tenenbaum for Dem Hollings seat, but the 23% national sales tax that Demint wants may yet give the Dems the seat.

In Alaska, The GOP seat has GOPer Murkowski behind Dem Knowles.

In Colorada, the GOP seat has Dem Salazar leading GOPer Pete Coors.

In Oklahoma,the GOP seat has a problem with GOPer Coburn's history - while a physician he sterilized young women against their will, and his comment that lesbianism was threatening schools in southeast Oklahoma, that may allow Dem Carson to replace retiring Sen. Don Nickles, a Republican.

In Kentucky Mongiardo(D has a chance against Bunning(R), but if the Dem campaign doesn't get some money soon this may slip away ... sigh


Still ...I like our chances to pick up one!!

:-)

[Hawkeye-X]

2. Actually I envision a huge takeover on both Senate and Congress

Maybe 62-47-1 for the Democratic Senate.

And about a 60 seat gain for Congress, along with Kerry.

Now let the peace and prosperity come!

[obnoxiousdrunk]

3. We just have

100 seats in the senate. 62-47-1 = 110 ?

[jean]

7. that's another one of those 'eggsager RAY shuns!'

[sherilocks]

4. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign has

sent $200,000 to Dr. Dan in KY.

Betty Castor has a 3 point lead over Martinez (R) in Florida in a poll taken after their debate.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

5. Georgia is gone, and NC might be gone too.

That gives us 47 plus Obama, Knolwes, and Salazar gives us 50. Ad Carson and Mongiardo, we have 52 then!

[bbmykel]

6. Thanks for the update

I just made a donation to Mongiardo (his site claims the race is a dead heat) to help get us the Senate.

Maybe others can spare a few bucks also?

Mike

[demokatgurrl]

9. I donated $100 yesterday

after seeing the tied poll. I think we can win that one.

[demokatgurrl]

8. A number of races are extremely close

I check here just about every day:

www.electoral-vote.com
Senate races are mentioned on the bottom of the main page, and there is a link where you can see each matchup. I think we can't really tell right now. Some of them go back and forth every other day (just like Kerry vs. Bush)