Kerry's lead strong (4-9%) in the battleground states

[swag]

http://www.mydd.com/

by Jerome Armstrong

Looking beyond the national tracking polls, into the tracking polls of the battleground states, seems to make a lot more sense in trying to figure out the race between Bush and Kerry. Nationally, in the WaPost poll, Kerry leads Bush 48-47 or so among RV's, but look closer:


"The latest Post tracking poll continues to show the race deadlocked, with each candidate receiving 48 percent of the vote. Independent Ralph Nader continues to barely register nationally and gets 1 percent of the hypothetical vote.

But the survey also suggests that Kerry continues to claim a large lead in key battleground states. In these 13 states, Kerry held a 53 percent to 43 percent advantage among likely voters."


That's a 10% lead by Kerry in the battleground states-- Wow! (and yes, this was in the same poll that showed 2/3rds didn't like Kerry's remarks about Mary Cheney. Of course the Republicans didn't like it, as it exposed their shadow-projections of hate onto a real person and made them deal with the hypocrisy. This carrys little to no political fallout, with GOP backlash just as likely, but as Buckley writes, such putting-a-face-on-being-gblt will in fact guard those freedoms from the rightwing hijack of the constitution with their social-hate amendments. Kerry is out in front of this, and just fine with his position).

The WaPost poll showing that Kerry leads in the battleground states is confirmed by Rasmussen, which shows Bush leading Kerry nationally by 2 percent, 48-46, yet Kerry leading Bush in the battleground states by a 48-46 percent margin-- a 4 percent swing.

. . . more from this site which is always worth a read.

[underpants]

1. NeenerNeenerNeener

Didn't hear it W is still leading NeenerNeenerNeener

<channeling the press>

[endnote]

2. Without MOE info, these numbers are meaningless, I'm afraid

[jobycom]

3. Why meaningless?