Rasmussen 3 day national tracking numbers for today are Bush 49.0% to Kerry 45.4%. This is a slight 0.4% Kerry gain from yesterday.
http://rasmussenreports.comZogby 3 day national tracking for the same period has 47% for Kerry and 44% for Bush, with 1.7% for Nader, about 1% for others and 6% undecided.
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=882As far as Electoral Votes are concerned, Zogby has it at 278 for Kerry to 207 for Bush.
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=879Rasmussen has it 240 for Bush and 194 for Kerry.
Now, Rasmussen's 7 day rolling averages for 5 key battleground states are:
Florida, bush 49%-45% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday, and 3 points in five days)
Michigan, Kerry 50%-46% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday)
Minnesota, Kerry 47%-45% (This is unchanged from yesterday)
Ohio, Bush 50%-45% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday, and his largest lead in over two weeks)
Pennsylvania, Kerry 48%-46% (This is a 1 point Bush gain, but the fourth day in a row of a Kerry lead)
I have added some Zogby numbers because I have become some what suspicious of the Rasmussen numbers. As I have said here before, I always check the Rasmussen data with whatever free data is available at Zogby. As it turns out, they are at odds in some areas.
Naturally, I prefer Zogby. Not just because he puts my guy in front, but because he was far more accurate than Rasmussen in 2000.