a dive into oblivion

[nixonwasbetterthanW]

Anyone remember the last weekend before the election in 1980, when Carter dipped about 10 points in the polls?

In that same vein, I'm getting the feeling that there's a whole lotta reassessment going on in maybe 20 percent of voters' minds as the weekend approaches, especially among the lightly and even moderately "committed" Bush backers.

It is possible, in other words, that Kerry could find himself with an 8-10-pt. lead by Columbus Day. Am I crazy?

[Mayberry Machiavelli]

1. I hope not!

[Media_Lies_Daily]

2. I think the final report stating no WMDs is going to be the last straw...

...for quite a few people sitting on the fence, as well as some Republicans who will make the decision to either sit out or vote for Kerry.

All that being said, however, I think the election will be decided by not more than 3-5 points for Kerry. 8-10 points is too big of a spread IMHO.

[greekspeak]

3. It isn't 1980 anymore

America is far more polarized than it was a quarter century before. We will have to wait for another watershed like the Reagan hate machine to get lopsided elections again.