I am completely consistent in my claims, the answer to the claim that nuclear is needed to replace coal for "baseload" is to be found in the GRID. I mean, I even pointed it out in my header line, as you can see below. You are continuing your same disinformation campaign to promote nuclear in spite of evidence it is poor choice for our needs. I'm just going to let our two posts speak for themselves:
I wrote:
The problem with *that* response is the nature of the grid current and future.
"Storage integrated by design with generation" - Sorry, no.
"Lose potential benefits by developing generation without at least planning for future storage." - Sorry, no.
"reason we "don't need it yet" is because wind/solar does not provide any real base generation capacity now." - True, but...
"can't GET to the point where they replace significant fossil generation until you have effective storage" - True, but...
If your premises are weak, then your conclusion is also. While you posit two true facts, you have omitted other information that invalidates the direction these two factoids send your logic, so even the 50% you did state correctly is actually of no help since it is inserted into a false paradigm.
The part you are missing is that fossil fuels are stored energy. So when we talk of energy storage as part of moving away from fossil fuels, the first stop in the discussion is to look at the present stored energy system that we've already paid for and see how that will perform during the period of transition.
The most polluting technology is coal - both in amount of CO2 and particulates per delivered kilowatt. The second most polluting technology is petroleum for transportation. If we can restructure the way we use energy to meet the needs associated with these two stored energy systems, we will be most of the way to meeting our climate change and energy security goals.
Fortunately there is one more element of the existing stored energy grid: already-bought-and-paid-for natural gas generation for peaking comprises a very large percentage of our existing fleet and they ARE BARELY USED.
Replacing coal 1:1 with natural gas combined cycle would result in a 60% decrease in carbon emissions for the same amount of electricity.
By targeting coal (which cap and trade does) and
-using renewables to their maximum then
-filling in the gaps with the existing natural gas capacity
-we raise that 60% reduction probably to a level in excess of 80%.
We therefore achieve the largest CO2 reductions in the shortest time for the least cost by folloing a path where focus on *deploying* storage is deferred.
Now, for a renewable grid to be absolutely the most efficient it can be, we *will* add a new component to our energy delivery system in the form of storage that both delivers power on demand but also captures energy from renewable generating systems that is produced in excess of demand (spilled energy).
The market niche for this application in the present system is small, as demonstrated by the paucity of businesses that use existing proven storage technologies like CAES and pumped hydro.
As the carbon price ratchets up we will see the both an increase in demand for storage and the cost of natural gas stored energy increase. This will result in the alternatives like biofuels to power those natgas plants, CAES, pumped hydro and rock batteries becoming more attractive.
There is also the extremely large reserve of grid storage that an EV fleet brings to the table as a "free" side benefit of electrifying our personal transportation fleet - it is huge.
This isn't a comprehensive explanation, but it covers the basic process that is underway. I hope it helps.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=115&topic_id=232368&mesg_id=232508 Your reply:
I could just set that as my auto-reply to almost all of your posts Kris. But congratulations... none of that looks pasted from someone else's thoughts... so it's at least worth a full reply.
The part you are missing is that fossil fuels are stored energy.
So? They are "stored" from millions of years of sunlight... in present terms, however, they are sources of energy.
If we can restructure the way we use energy
This sounds painfully like "we just need to learn to live without 24/7 availability of electricity" - which is a non-starter.
Replacing coal 1:1 with natural gas combined cycle would result in a 60% decrease in carbon emissions for the same amount of electricity.
This is true... but that doesn't move us away from fossil fuels, it just shifts which one. More importantly, it is an unexpected admission of your errors over hundreds of posts I've seen from you. You're really saying we don't need to worry about storage of wind/solar because we are not going to rely on either one to provide 24/7 power. We will use it when available for free/clean energy and then back up the grid with more reliable sources. This means that you need to have fossil generation capability (because you've rejected nuclear) that comes very close to your total power needs... you just have it turned off when it isn't needed. But you still need to build the plant... build the infrastructure... staff the plant etc AND build out the greener sources.
Now, for a renewable grid to
Whoa there horsey... all you've done up to the word "now" is replace one fossil fuel with another. A change that I'm entirely in favor of (along with nuclear). It's clear that the peak oil crowd was flat wrong about natural gas peaking a decade or so ago, so we certainly can increase our nat-gas energy production significantly... but that has nothing to do with a renewable grid. (see comments above).
The market niche for this application in the present system is small
That's incorrect. In fact, utility acceptance of a higher proportion from renewable requires some for of storage. This goes back to two paragraphs up... renewables can only provide replacement power to the extent that reliable power is available for when they cannot produce. It's precisely because we have excess capacity in reliable power that greener sources can make sense... but there is a limit to how far they can go.
as demonstrated by the paucity of businesses that use existing proven storage technologies like CAES and pumped hydro
Nope. I can see how you might think that, but the reason they aren't used regularly is because 1) there is no need for them and 2) they are not cost-effective.
Now... before you make the obvious response to #2... the reason they aren't cost effective is only partially because they add expense. It's mostly because there isn't a NEED to store BECAUSE the grid has excess capacity. When the sun is shining you don't need to charge batteries (normal or in other forms), you can just idle a natgas plant down the road and save on fuel costs. IOW... you can use all that it produces (in most cases).
If wind/solar/tidal (hydro/wave are different) are going to increase beyond surplus generation (with the main benefit being reduction of fossil uses when it is available - rather than replacement) and get to a point where you can actually replace existing fossil generation (rather than supplement in a cleaner way), storage is essential.
And you can't build generation capacity now and expect to PLAN to replace the alternatives in the future until you can demonstrate that this is feasible.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=115&topic_id=232368&mesg_id=232524