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Eugene Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-09-07 03:56 PM
Original message
Global warming will step up after 2009: scientists - Reuters
Source: Reuters

Global warming will step up after 2009: scientists
Thu Aug 9, 2007 2:13PM EDT

By Deborah Zabarenko, Environment Correspondent

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Global warming is forecast to set
in with a vengeance after 2009, with at least half of the
five following years expected to be hotter than 1998, the
warmest year on record, scientists reported on Thursday.

Climate experts have long predicted a general warming trend
over the 21st century spurred by the greenhouse effect, but
this new study gets more specific about what is likely to
happen in the decade that started in 2005.

-snip-

In research published in the journal Science, Smith and his
colleagues predicted that the next three or four years would
show little warming despite an overall forecast that saw
warming over the decade.

-snip-

The real heat will start after 2009, they said.

Until then, the natural forces will offset the expected
warming caused by human activities, such as the burning of
fossil fuels, which releases the greenhouse gas carbon
dioxide.

-snip-

Read more: http://www.reuters.com/article/environmentNews/idUSN0837368420070809



Source: BBC News

Last Updated: Thursday, 9 August 2007, 20:12 GMT 21:12 UK

Ten-year climate model unveiled

Scientists say they have developed a model to predict how ocean
currents, as well as human activities, will affect temperatures
over the next decade.

By including short-term natural events, such as El Nino, a UK
team says it is able to offer 10-year projections.

Models have previously focused on how the globe will warm over
a century.

Writing in Science, Met Office researchers project that at least
half of the years between 2009 and 2014 are likely to exceed
existing records.

-snip-

Read more: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6939347.stm
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-09-07 03:58 PM
Response to Original message
1. We are completely unprepared.
Three inches of runoff water and the NYC subway system comes to a halt. What do we do when it's seven and eight inches?
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mainegreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-09-07 04:14 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Swim n/t
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Zensea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-09-07 04:41 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Correction
Yes we are unprepared, I agree but the stuff with the subway yesterday was a bit more than just "three inches of runoff water."

There was a tornado in Brooklyn -- first time there has been a tornado in NYC in 118 years.
and the rainfall was a record also.

"The storm dumped a record amount of rain on LaGuardia Airport - 2.54 inches, crushing the previous high of 1.83 inches in 1976"

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/2007/08/09/2007-08-09_brooklyn_becomes_tornado_alley-1.html

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Dead_Parrot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-09-07 04:46 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. Go shopping for new shoes.
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phantom power Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-09-07 04:47 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. I did *not* just see that.
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 03:56 AM
Response to Reply #6
10. I did *not* just see it, too.
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Mojorabbit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-09-07 04:24 PM
Response to Original message
3. I wish gore would run
Nothing, not terrorism, not oil, nothing... will matter if we do not start preparing for this right now.
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kestrel91316 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-09-07 05:00 PM
Response to Original message
7. One word: acceleration
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hatrack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-09-07 05:05 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Three more words: "faster than expected"
May as well have another :beer:
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razorman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-09-07 10:08 PM
Response to Original message
9. Whether this is true or not, I guess we'll know soon enough.
Edited on Thu Aug-09-07 10:12 PM by razorman
2009 isn't far off.
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