China unable to quench thirst for oil

[Infinite Velocity]

By Victor Mallet in Hong Kong
Published: January 20 2004 11:35 | Last Updated: January 20 2004 22:59

China's fast-growing economy has overtaken Japan to become the world's second largest consumer of crude oil after the US, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the Chinese government.

Latest IEA estimates say China consumed 5.46m barrels a day last year, compared with Japan's 5.43m b/d. In the last quarter of 2003, the IEA says, China was the "main driver of global oil demand growth".

The US remains by far the biggest oil user, consuming more than 20m b/d. The growth in Chinese demand is expected to continue this year, at a time when Opec has little room to boost oil output and US commercial oil inventories are at their lowest levels since 1975, creating tight conditions in the global market.

Benchmark US crude futures hit $35.95 a barrel yesterday, their highest level since US-led forces invaded Iraq last March.

The latest figures underline China's thirst for natural resources to fuel its industrial revolution. Yesterday, China reported economic growth of 9.9 per cent for the fourth quarter of 2003, taking full year growth to 9.1 per cent.

They also confirm that the economy - to the dismay of the ruling Communist party - is becoming ever more dependent on energy imports, mainly from the Middle East.

On Monday Hu Jintao, Chinese president, begins a tour that includes Egypt, Algeria and Gabon - all energy exporters.

Anxious to diversify its suppliers, Beijing has directed its state-controlled companies to buy into oilfields around the world.

"It reflects the generally uneasy feeling in the government," said Joe Zhang, head of China research at UBS in Hong Kong. "Strategically, politically, militarily, somehow they don't feel comfortable."

Chinese customs figures show the country imported a record 91m tonnes of crude oil last year, up 31 per cent from 2002. It also exports oil and refined products, but by 2030 China's net oil imports are expected to reach 10m b/d and meet more than 80 per cent of its demand, compared with 35 per cent in 2000. Just over a decade ago, China was a net exporter of oil.

Chinese demand has boosted oil tanker rates to near record levels on the Middle East to China route. Rates have tripled since October, and now exceed tanker rates from the Middle East to the US by 20 per cent.

Oil demand in China is rising because of rapid growth in electricity generation and the dramatic increase in the number of vehicles on the country's roads.

http://news.ft.com/servlet/ContentServer?pagename=FT.com/StoryFT/FullStory&c=StoryFT&cid=1073281160569&p=1012571727207

[Dr Fate]

1. Perhaps they could get a "Coalition" together...

...fake some evidence, and Invade an oil-rich country. Who's going to stop them or claim the moral high-ground if they do?

[mike_c]

2. we will of course....

Honesty and justice never stand in the way of an enlightened foreign policy in the U.S.

[ChemEng]

3. Much cheaper to buy oil that spend $82 Billion on an invasion.....

If you invested $82 Billion at 8% return and draw down the investment over 20 years, you would have just over $8.2 Billion per year to spend on oil. That would get you about 650,000 BPD of oil at $35/bbl.

No, I don't think that will pay very well....

[kalian]

4. Clear evidence then....

that we will have another world war...the final one IMHO.

[jmcgowanjm]

5. "Strategically, politically, militarily, . . .

somehow they don't feel comfortable."

Now why is that?

What is it w/ these people?

Has anyone ever threatened, manipulated ,attacked,
or occupied these guys?

[Frodo]

6. China? Oh yes.

Quite a few times in fact.

They may hold the record.