Dean Leads in CA Poll!

[slinkerwink]

From Public Policy Institute of California. (No link - I got the info from the Dean campaign - but watch PPIC's website.)

N = 1200, 900 likely voters

Dean 31
Clark 14
Lieberman 8
Kerry 6
Gephardt 5
Braun 3
Edwards 2
Sharpton 2
Kucinich 1

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/1/14/22439/2080

[jmaier]

1. Pretty strong showing

Up around the customary 30% +- a few points. Interesting.

[slinkerwink]

2. did you watch the Dean speech on C-Span?

That was unbelievably great!

[jmaier]

3. No, I wish I could

but they don't let streaming media through the firewall at work.

Looking at your poll: I'm pretty surprised to see Kucinich at 1%. This is one state where I thought the Green influence alone might pull him up to 5% or greater, at least in early polls.

It's a very odd primary year and I've seen a BUNCH of them.

[slinkerwink]

4. yeah, I know.....that is surprising.

The Dean speech replays at 10PM----my god, Dean was on FIRE! He was superbly excellent!

[Melodybe]

6. Yes he was i just posted a bit about him in Iowa!

His supporters are on fire! I'm glad he went home to be with his family yesterday, I think he needed it. He looked well rested and ready to go!

[RetroLounge]

7. Looking forward to the replay

once the kids are finally asleep.

GET BACK IN BED!

Okay, that did it...

:)

[bigwillq]

5. And a big lead at that

Not surprised at who's #2

[candy331]

8. Martin Sheen and Carl Reiner

were fired up with Dean tonight. Man did I love watching those guys in action. Dean inspires the crowds and that is so good for this party where so many have lost hope.

[David Dunham]

9. BUT DEAN IS LOSING CA TO BUSH BY 12 POINTS

The same poll shows that Dean would lose CA to Bush by 12 points. That means Deanie is a loser!

[slinkerwink]

11. lol, this is just 11 months before the election

you rock for your positivity! :yourock:

[ozone_man]

10. That is very good news.

Love those Californians. :thumbsup:

[kerry-is-my-prez]

12. Poll also says state at risk. Bush approval rating way up in Cali....

Due to his pandering and installing the Gropenator....


http://mensnewsdaily.com/archive/w/walker/04/walker011504.htm

The Field Poll released today should send shivers down the spines of Democrat Party nabobs. If George W. Bush carries California, the presidential election is over. California has fifty-five electoral votes, more than enough to offset the loss of Florida, Ohio and West Virginia, so if everything else broke the Democrat way, President Bush would still win reelection.

-snip-

President Bush has made a consistent and emphatic effort to persuade Mexican-Americans that he is sympathetic to them. This work has included visiting Mexican President Fox very early in the Bush Presidency and recently was reiterated by another meeting with President Fox. Although the outreach to Hispanics could be important in states like New Mexico and Arizona, the principal effect, if it worked, would be to make California Republican again. Now it looks like the Bush Gamble has paid off. The Field Poll released January 14, 2004 shows that 52% of Californians approve of how President Bush is handling his job and that 42% disapprove. Other very recent polls show President Bush running far ahead of Howard Dean in California. No Democrat runs well right now against Bush in California.

In the mad dash to find the angriest Democrat around - and also to find some Democrat who might be able to chip away at Republican support in the South - Democrats seem to have simply assumed that California would stay as staunchly Democrat as, say, New Jersey. California, however, has been a very volitile state.

What happened between the September poll and January poll? His very high support among Republicans actually dropped from 83% to 82%. His support among Independents rose seven points, not bad news but certainly nothing dramatic. The big swing was a jump of ten percentage points among Democrats, as his disapproval dropped an even bigger 13 points. Gaining 10 points in approval and losing points in disapproval is a huge net swing.