(I posted this over on GD, but I don't think anyone will discuss in it, so I post it here)
On average, US air carriers (I tried to find worldwide statistics, but couldn't) fly about 30,000 domestic and international flights every day. EVERY DAY. According to
http://www.bts.gov/press_releases/2006/bts038_06/html/b... that was 875,500 flights in May of 2006 (see Table 7) and 4,266,500 flights total from January 1 to end of May of this year.
Just from a statistical standpoint, there is no way that terrorists could ever hit enough planes to make it worth, in my opinion, all this ridiculous security bullshit. No water bottles, no toothpaste, no books, no electronics... fuck that. We're talking millions and millions of flights every year. Even if the terrorists could somehow manage to find enough suicide assholes to take out ten planes a day, that's an irrelevant statistical anomaly. Bad for the people on those planes, yes. But even then, not enough to make us get all bent out of shape with security.
And we have newly heightened bogus security just because of one failed attempt, nipped in the bud (assuming it was even a credible or real threat, anyway) in the last four years.
I wish people were smarter. I wish we would teach everyone a serious class on statistics in schools; and teach it a couple times. We need more math literacy in this country - and worldwide - so people can differentiate a true threat from an emotional one.
If we looked at things logically and truthfully, from a real mathematical standpoint, we'd spend the billions we're spending on bogus security (in the hopes of preserving a few thousand lives at most), and spend it on providing anti-malaria medication and malaria eradication to save the 10,000+ people who die EVERY DAY from Malaria.
People will gladly accept body searches and no carry-on luggage and other invasive measures in order to "be safe" on a plane, which is already insanely safe, but they happily will go without seat belts in cars, drive while eating or talking on cell phones or both, drive with pets on their laps, drive drunk... all of these things in a form of transportation is far, far, far more deadly than flying. Or happily fire up that cigarette while fearing a death on an airplane, even though smoking reduces one's life by years, while the statistical average of flying reduces one's life by one day.
Personally speaking, I say let's stick with the metal detectors and x-rays at the airports, but let's otherwise not live in contant fear and let the terrorists win: let's live normally, freely taking our laptops and books and bottles of water and even our lighters on airplanes, and live a more relaxed, sensible, fear-free life.
But, owing to our ignorance, this won't happen, and the terrorists truly have won.