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Given the amount of economic integration, Canada is now a non-voting part of the U.S.- well, at least that's what my former boss in Toronto said some Ontarian big business owners told him at some downtown fundraiser around the time of the big Quebec referendum....
The meaning of this election- globally or domestically- is whether the U.S. continues to be run by people who think colonially or those who think Modernly knock them out (quite likely forever). The 2000 election showed we were almost there, this one should be the tipping point.
There are lots of fun details to this game and it appears as if any of them could matter. No people changes its Establishment lightly, and so- despite all the outrages- the macroscopic picture is that the race is tied. The detailed picture is that Bush has had to burn up all of his side's political capital in the past year and a half to achieve a tie. There isn't much left, if anything, to persuade the unpersuaded of his worthiness.
In the fundamental argument, Bush's side is now presenting the People with an enormous amount of evidence that the conservative Establishment is incapable of further service and utterly corrupt- by the means by which it is now trying to force this election their way, and by the hollow ends it pursues. It's exactly the opposite of the arguments he needs to be making- but can not.
In about four or five days we should know which way it all is moving and feel the outcome becoming clear. I think the subtle hints- the polls out of Ohio, the way Kerry is starting to form a 'transition team', the way the Bush team is getting a little silly and withdrawing from some states, the hollow Bush rhetoric- are that the Kerry side has concluded it will beat the Republican turnout and election skewing machinery decisively, and small signs are everywhere that some amount of fatalism has set in in the top tiers on the Bush side. The Kerry campaign is setting up an Election Day evening public event at Copley Square in Boston- no hotel ballroom for this one, that's not planning for a concession speech.
Think of it this way: even if Bush wins, the argument about his abilities and worthiness and plans/ideas (such as there are) is decided against him. It would be a Presidency without political capital internationally or domestically, doomed to implosion and hitched to a political base that has little or no future. A Pyrrhic victory.
So you can let DU go a bit. :-)
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