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Florida
Castor vs McConnell (sp) (the little congresscritter)
will probably be close. I give Repubs 11-9 odds.
Georgia
?? vs any of three Repubs
Republicans win no matter which of the three they nominate. Dems can't find a nominee. Repubs have 2 congresscritters and an A-A businessman Cain. If they nominate Cain, he will be a rising star in the party overnight. Repubs 3-1 odds.
S Carolina
Tannenbaum is excellent Dem candidate. Repubs will have a congresscritter who hasn't been picked yet. Will depepnd on presidential race. Tannenbaum can run 12 points ahead of presidential candidate, but if presidential nominee pulls out of the state and loses by 20, Tannenbaum will go down with him. Dems get 5-4 odds.
N Carolina
Bowles tries again this time against Congresscritter Burr. Senate seats in N Carolina always within a few points. Bowles lost to Dole by 9 or 10 which was the biggest senate blowout in N Carolina in 20 + years. Still, Burr not nearly the candidate Dole was. Big textile job losses, but Bowles was Clinton's point man getting NAFTA passed. I put the odds at Republicans 3-2.
That's my take just off the top of my head.
If Breaux retires in Louisiana, add that one to the list of southern seats at risk.
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