Rasmussen Reports - Final Prediction on NJ & VA Governor Races

[Lasher]

Election Day 2005

New Jersey Governor: Corzine (D)+ 5

Virginia Governor: Kaine (D) +3

Today, voters in New Jersey and Virginia will elect a new Governor. Rasmussen Reports polls in both states show that the Democrats are ahead, but the dynamics of the races are quite different.

In New Jersey, Democrat Jon Corzine has been ahead in every Election 2005 poll. The latest Rasmussen Reports poll showed him leading Republican Doug Forrester by five percentage points on Sunday night. That is Corzine's smallest lead of the season. Garden State voters have a generally unfavorable opinion of both candidates.

In Virginia, Republican Jerry Kilgore was ahead by six points in the earliest polls and held that lead through the summer. His lead began to shrink in September and the candidates were tied by the end of that month. Democrat Tim Kaine moved ahead for the first time two weeks ago and a Rasmussen Reports election poll last Thursday night showed Kaine up by three points.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/index.htm

[Botany]

1. do not tease me!

:bounce:

[Lasher]

3. I'm anxious too

It's the most recent scoop I could find. Boo hoo hoo.

Please note, the Dem lead in VA is within the margin of error (3%) and therefore quite stealable. Sad fact of the times.

On a brighter note, Raspussen is usually slanted in favor of Republicans, so the margin might not be cheatable. And don't tell me cheatable is not a word. If it weren't I would not have been able to type it.

[nevergiveup]

2. How accurate was Rasmussen

last November?

[Mr_Spock]

5. Haven't we learned to take the polls with a grain of salt?

I have :D

[FreedomAngel82]

7. What I do

is look at a few polls and match them up. Of course in the long run all the polls taken before the election day don't mean anything unless the people actually go out and vote.

[Lasher]

8. I do too

Here is a link to RealClearPolitics, which provides averages:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls.html

Some more poll resources are:

http://www.pollkatz.homestead.com/

http://surveyusa.com/home.html

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-flash05a.html?project=elections06-ft&h=495&w=778&hasAd=1&mod=blogs

The reason I shared the Rasmussen poll is because it is a daily poll (with a 3 day lag time if memory serves) and probably the very latest scoop. I am hungry for the latest scoop in these races and figured I was not alone in this respect.

Please be advised, the Rasmussen poll is sometimes (if not often or always) slanted in favor of Republicans, as much as 5%

RAH RAH DEMOCRATS! :toast: :headbang: :applause: :popcorn:

[IndyOp]

4. I hope, I hope. Remember: Exit polls are not accurate, well

haven't been since Diebold, ES&S, and Sequoia have been 'working elections'.

I hope, I hope. Maybe something magic has happened... O8)

[in_cog_ni_to]

6. I'm afraid to hope...

but I'm gonna anyway! :woohoo::woohoo: