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Edited on Thu Oct-20-05 10:35 AM by kenny blankenship
the question doesn't have a useful answer but explores the respondent's belief in their own irrational intuitions. By any nation's standard of morality (that is morality in its dictionary sense of a set of fixed rules, a system of correct behaviors established socially and not open to question) you have to rescue the child. Everyone present (if there are others present) can see that there is a human life in danger and moreover a child's life, which is generally set at a higher worth than the life of an adult (not in all cultures but certainly in ours). Countermanding that rule is the certainty that you experience that the child will grow up to commit overwhelmingly evil acts and wreak havoc on the lives of many people and cause them to question the justice of life. This certainty is only your personal intuition and is based on no rationally acceptable evidence at all. No one else present can see this--and from the circumstances given in the question it would certainly be impossible to convince anyone else of what you "know" about the child. Following your baseless intuition when life is immediately at stake would be a heinously immoral thing to do: who the fuck appointed you Omniscient Deity of the Universe? Everyone can see the child is there and its life is in danger, any normal person placed in your shoes would see that, but you are paused by "evidence" which is apparently nothing more than "a disturbance in the Force" or some other "ESP" derived belief you have about the future of the child which, if you were to explain it to a board certified psychiatrist that such was a basis for action--action with life or death consequences-- would cause you to be committed to a looney bin. ALmost nothing is certain not even in science: everything regarded as certain there is actually contingent. It's contingent on other scientific propositions being true which have stood the test of years of experiments, challenges, and rechecking, becoming modified, qualified, often partially reversed, and with time finally accepted. The question you pose proposes certainty without any test of time or without external confirmation through the help of others, and poses a "certainty" based on no furnished evidence of ANY kind.
However since most of us have never experienced such "flashes" of utter certainty--certainly no one I've known has admitted to me that they had a belief in a future determining power in their intuitions and random thoughts--that means most of us have never had to balance the impulses such "certainties" cause in people against the expected standards of behavior. Most of us do not experience the flashes and thus have no experience wrestling with them. In other words, if at some future date you are going to become so crazy as to immediately and completely credit psychotic thoughts you have about drowning children being the Next Hitler or growing up to be evil serial killers, then there is nothing you can say now, today while you're still sane, about what you will do later when you've gone insane and are bombarded by such a "certainty". There's no useful answer you could give, starting from a state of legally competent sanity, about what you would do in a future state of insanity.
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