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and he likes being on the side of the powerful, who can ignore international law when it suits them. What the memos show (which are kept as a matter of course - Blair didn't consider that he was committing a crime at the time, though he wouldn't expect them to be leaked) is that to Blair, international law is a tool - to be used to influence British public opinion where possible, or to be gamed if needed. Blair won't obey international law just for the sake of it - just like he, and most politicians, won't tell the truth just for the sake of it. They'll lie quite happily if that suits their purposes better.
This will have no appreciable effect on Bush. Bush has already expressed his contempt for international law in public, and the American public didn't give a shit. He constantly called for regime change. No-one objected.
Blair won't go to trial at the ICC. British courts will always get a crack at him first, and there just isn't the will to get him convicted. His lawyers would be able to go on endlessly about what the real intention was, claim that he honestly believed Saddam had WMD, etc. The majority of people, including me, may believe that he went to war with the primary objective of illegal regime change, but it's not provable beyond all reasonable doubt.
Realistically, the memo will have little effect after the election. The Welsh and Scottish nationalists may bring back their impeachment motion, but so far the Lib Dem leadership has shown no interest in it - and it won't get anywhere without one of the large parties supporting it.
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