http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/GB08Ak01.htmlAs expected, the United Iraqi Alliance (UIA) is emerging as the dominant party, making its chief mentor and spiritual adviser, Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, the clear winner of the Iraqi elections of January 30 (see Note below). Only US President George W Bush and his tight-lipped advisers know whether this is the beginning of the United States' nightmare in Iraq. Sistani never had any doubts about what he wanted: use the much-cherished democracy of the US invaders to enable his people - the Shi'ites - to emerge as governors of Iraq, after years of being marginalized by the minority Sunnis. The most dominant question is how Islamic the emerging government of Iraq is likely to be.
The US may not have any problem with Islam as a religion; there is no doubt, however, that the entire notion of "Islamic government" has never been an acceptable proposition in Washington. That was true in Afghanistan after the dismantlement of the Taliban regime, and it has been true in Iraq. US presidents, starting from Jimmy Carter, know only too well how chaotic a system can be created under the rubric of "Islamic government". The Islamic Revolution in Iran in 1979 was the beginning of Washington's nightmare. If Carter had to identify one reason why he remained a one-term president, he would readily state: the Islamic Revolution of Iran, under which the US was humiliated by the Islamic cadres of the late ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. Islamic government is once again emerging as an issue of utmost concern for another president, except this time he, Bush, might be the direct reason for the materialization of an Islamic government in Iraq.
Leading Shi'ite clerics in Iraq are reportedly "pushing for Islam to be recognized as the guiding principle of the new constitution". Such a proposal is in stark contrast from the transitional law the US enacted before installing the Iraqi interim government headed by Prime Minister Iyad Allawi last June. The US then succeeded in pressing Iraqi politicians to grant equal rights to women and minorities and, above all, "to designate Islam as just 'a source' of legislation". The handpicked secular Iraqi members of the government had no problem with that US preference. However, the Shi'ite clerics are now "advocating for Islam to be acknowledged as the underpinning of the government". In addition, the clerics are demanding that the Americans "stay away from the writing of the constitution".
The Shi'ite clerics might be forced to compromise on the issue of Islam in order to forge a compromise to form a government. How far they would go in formulating that compromise depends on the final number of votes the UIA receives.
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