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Khephra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 12:25 AM
Original message
A 51 Percent Mandate?
When is a mandate a mandate?

President Bush won more than 59 million votes last week -- more than any other presidential candidate in history and enough, his supporters have said, to claim a mandate. But other comparisons between this year's election results and those of previous contests suggest his win was somewhat less decisive.

Bush's unofficial three-percentage-point margin of victory, for example, was the fifth smallest since 1920. John F. Kennedy won in 1960 with 0.2 percent more votes than Richard M. Nixon. Nixon, in turn, won in 1968 with a slim 0.7 percent advantage over Hubert H. Humphrey. In 1976, Jimmy Carter defeated Gerald Ford by 2.1 percent. In 2000, Al Gore won the popular vote but lost the electoral one. Conversely, 10 of the previous 21 presidential races were won by at least 10 percentage points -- and five of them were decided by more than 20 points.

Bush's chunk of the popular vote -- unofficially, 51 percent -- also places him in the middle of this historical pack. Thirteen of the winners of the previous 21 elections won a larger share of the vote. Lyndon B. Johnson won the highest percentage, when he swamped Barry Goldwater in 1964 with 61.1 percent. Bill Clinton won with the lowest, when he took 43 percent in 1992. Bush, however, is the first to win a majority of the popular vote since 1988.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A41006-2004Nov10.html
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 12:30 AM
Response to Original message
1. Yeah, yeah, Karl's early Xmas gift to the whiny boy.
George was always ticked by not getting the popular vote.

But, since he lost a huge number of his former voters, where did the new ones come from?
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DireStrike Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 12:31 AM
Response to Original message
2. He also thinks he earned "political capital" in the 2000 election.
And that he doesn't support a gay marriage amendment.
And Mission accomplished.
And that the draft... whoops, that one's not ready yet.
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unblock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 12:42 AM
Response to Original message
3. "no than any other" bu**sh** comparing him to george washington??
they're actually making a statement that shrub got more votes than, among others, washington, jefferson, and lincoln.

that statement alone proves their idiocy. there is NO comparison between shrubs dubious, fraud-ridden 51% popular vote and single-state electoral margin to washington's UNANIMOUS electoral college win.

just because there were only 3,000,000 voters way back then, what does it say about shrub that he got 59,000,000? nothing. it says we're a bigger country, that's all.
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0rganism Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 12:51 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. Heh. Kerry got more votes than any other previous candidate too.
It's no surprise the accolades for bush don't mention this inconvenient fact.
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IrishDem74 Donating Member (3 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 02:29 PM
Response to Reply #6
21. Thank you
I am so glad that someone other than me expressing this little publicized fact. There are days when the whole spin doctor thing makes me crazy! :shrug:
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newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 04:44 PM
Response to Reply #21
26. Hi IrishDem74!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
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Athomas Donating Member (2 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 01:30 AM
Response to Reply #3
9. And who received the second most votes for a presidential candidate ever?
John Kerry.

I guess that means Americans liked Kerry better than all the previous presidents as well.
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newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 01:06 PM
Response to Reply #9
14. Hi athomas!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
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2Design Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 12:49 AM
Response to Original message
4. not 51% of eligible voters - 31% for bush
29% for kerry
40% didn't even have the where withal to show up - they are the voters we need to go after

we don't need to try to convince some dumb rw to get a brain - we need to get these others to show up
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roseBudd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 01:12 PM
Response to Reply #4
15. California ( a very blue state) had really low turnout
probaly because being blue and late, a lot of voters who would have voted Kerry did not bother. Had they, Bush would not have won the popular vote.
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goclark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 01:14 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. Not the lines that I heard about and saw


Maybe they messed with our votes too!

Democrats were energized and VOTED in huge numbers.
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 02:40 PM
Response to Reply #15
22. You are very wrong.....CA had fantastic turnout
Turnout in CA was outstanding....over 11M votes counted so far and the absentees and provisionals are not done. It is estimated that will push to over 12M in a state with 16.5M registered voters. Way above 60% which would be the highest turnout for CA since 1964. Kerry got more votes here than Gore or Clinton.

http://vote2004.ss.ca.gov/Returns/pres/00.htm

http://fox40.trb.com/news/ktxl-110404voting,0,3203946.story?coll=ktxl-home-2
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roseBudd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 03:17 PM
Response to Reply #22
23. I read that the percentage (not the numbers) was low
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 03:38 PM
Response to Reply #23
24. Not true....the % of the registered voting is the highest since 1964
Maybe you're referring to the percentage in relation to population?

That is horse of a different color.

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roseBudd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 06:38 PM
Response to Reply #24
28. Yes percentage of population
Nonbattleground states perhaps lower than battleground?
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2Design Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 10:32 PM
Response to Reply #24
29. % of register voters high but % of voters was not as high here
40 million registered voters did NOT vote
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0rganism Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 12:49 AM
Response to Original message
5. I think they presume the Man Date from the changes in congress
Had bush won but Democrats gained seats in congress, it could be construed that his support was sufficient-yet-weak. However, to be re-elected by 3.5 million majority and have additional support in both houses of congress, well, that's pretty solid stuff.

His support may not be deep, but it is wide. We're going to see a lot of changes in the next four years.
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sweetheart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 01:19 AM
Response to Original message
7. Jefferson Davis had a mandate as well
Bush's mandate will clearly be to wage war on women, civil liberties,
civil society, and all things democratic to see if he can spread
the neo-slavery of the 21st century.
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 01:24 AM
Response to Original message
8. Not So Much a Mandate as a Hostile Takeover
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Athomas Donating Member (2 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 01:34 AM
Response to Original message
10. Man Date?
Edited on Thu Nov-11-04 01:35 AM by Athomas
I thought dubya was agin' that sorta thing!

(shamelessly stolen from Bill Mitchell) :)
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dArKeR Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 02:40 AM
Response to Original message
11. I heard Whorie Fineman say on Franken that 51% is a 'mandate' so it must
be true! I also heard before the election on TV a veteren NBC VP say that Kerry bringing up Cheney's lesbian daughter was 'completely out of bounds and disgraceful.' But the Whore VP didn't mention that she is activly campaigning for her Whore Father on all the TV shows. And that 'gay' morals was the central issue for the Fascist Christians. So why can't it be talked about? And why isn't DICK Cheney questioned for having genes associated with demons and Satans as I've heard Pat Robertson and Jerry Falwell same gay people have?
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OneBlueSky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 02:56 AM
Response to Original message
12. mandate is in the eye of the beholder . . .
Bush considered his 500,000 vote loss in 2000 a mandate . . .

a 3.5 million vote win (which I don't believe for a minute) is, to Bush, a message from God! . . .
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Skittles Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 03:16 AM
Response to Original message
13. WHEN HAS THAT BASTARD
EVER F***ING ACTED LIKE HE DIDN'T HAVE A MANDATE????????????????????????????????????????????????????
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barb162 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 01:45 PM
Response to Reply #13
18. yes that is exactly correct. He acted gangbusters in 2000 when he
lost
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SouthStar Donating Member (39 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 01:33 PM
Response to Original message
17. Does he have a mandate?
No.

But in 1992 after Clinton was elected with 43%, magazine covers had pictures of Clinton with the headline "Mandate" and the Clinton team heavily used the word mandate.

If a 43% vote total can be called a mandate, it is hard to argue against one who got 51-52% using the word.
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Skittles Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 04:47 PM
Response to Reply #17
27. Clinton knew the word MANDATE
didn't mean ACTING LIKE A F***ING ASSHOLE
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zanana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 02:15 PM
Response to Original message
19. He's president of half the country...
It's fitting that he got 51% of the vote.
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Mandate My Ass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 02:21 PM
Response to Original message
20. Mandate My Ass
Some sentiments bear repetition.
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Zero Gravitas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 03:43 PM
Response to Original message
25. Its not even 51%
only 59% of registered voters actually voted, so more accurately the results are:

Bush (F) 30%
Kerry (D) 29%
None of the Above 41%

When 70% of the country does not vote for you, you do not have a mandate.

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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 10:44 PM
Response to Original message
30. it's the smallest margin for an incumbent, particularly wartime--right?
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