Here is one of the kind of article I was coming across. Although it is in the interest of all Asian treasury banks to protect the dollar, they individually want to stem their losses if it looks like the decline of the dollar is inevitable. They, in other words, are in the same position we would each be in -- just trying to avoid losing money needlessly because of shrub's recklessness
http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000039&refer=columnist_mukherjee&sid=aAwTOe4JIHIoAndy Mukherjee is a columnist for Bloomberg News. The opinions expressed are his own.
Can Asia Dump Bretton Woods II as Dollar Falls?: Andy Mukherjee
Nov. 9 (Bloomberg) -- President George W. Bush's second term may be a challenging time for Asian central bankers.
With the dollar hitting an all-time low against the euro yesterday, traders are betting that Bush may add to the $412.6 billion U.S. budget deficit, increasing the pressure on the dollar to decline. And unlike during the last three years, the brunt of the dollar's fall may not be borne by Europe alone.
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There's another important reason why Bretton Woods II may have to be dumped. Nouriel Roubini, a professor of economics at New York University's Stern School of Business, says that the current global financial system can be sustained only if Asian central banks act as a cartel and keep their existing and future reserves in U.S. dollars.
There is, however, no formal cartel. As a result, every Asian central bank will want to protect itself against an erosion in the value of its assets from a decline in the dollar.
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Losses could indeed be large. Asian central banks own more than $2.2 trillion in foreign-exchange reserves out of a global total of $3.4 trillion. At the end of last year, almost 64 percent of central bank reserves globally were denominated in U.S. dollars, according to the International Monetary Fund.
As Asia tries to diversify out of the dollar, the U.S. currency may decline further. An individual central bank ``can only protect itself if it either shifts out of dollars and into euros ahead of the others, or buys a euro/dollar hedge before everyone else,'' Roubini says.