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Streetdoc270 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 10:30 PM
Original message
need help
looking for info on pre 2000 elections. Exit poll data v/s actual results. Doing research on when exit polls started going wrong when they used to be used as a reliable indicator. Hard data is needed for article. Thanks
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Carolab Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 10:32 PM
Response to Original message
1. Contact Zogby
He mentioned that exit polls and his predictions were always reliable until 2000
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Carolab Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 10:33 PM
Response to Original message
2. self-deleted
Edited on Sun Nov-07-04 10:33 PM by Carolab
dupe
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Career Prole Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 10:36 PM
Response to Original message
3. I read that Germany's exit polls are within a tenth of a percent.
You might want to find out what we're doing so different.
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Robert Oak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 11:07 PM
Response to Original message
4. FOUND EM!!!!
http://search.icpsr.umich.edu/ICPSR/query.html?col=abstract&op0=%2B&tx0=voter+news+service+general+election+exit+polls+series&ty0=p&fl0=series%3A&op1=-&tx1=restricted&ty1=w&fl1=availability%3A&op2=+&tx2=ICPSR&ty2=w&fl2=archive%3A&nh=50&rf=3

What a bitch.

We need Jimmy Carter.


=========================================================

Here is a narrative on exit polls as well as margin of error
and how they were used in Venezela. Clearly we don't have the ideal
that they did, but this says 40% of all US voters participate in exit polls...

is that is true, then some of these results could very well be outside the margin of error from the exit poll and
http://www.vcrisis.com/index.php?content=letters/200408310659
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