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counting on those low job numbers and other bad numbers as a hiccup in the rising economic curve
if they're right, it will slow the pace of inflation heading toward a rebounding economy
course the real inflation we all suffer is ludicrously understated in all government numbers
that aside, if they're WRONG, which any halfwit living outside 1600 Pa. Ave feels in his gut, based on everyday signs and signals, that means the economy is headed DOWN DOWN DOWN
one of the key indicators for me is the FACT that a big reason in the recent turndown is just now turning up as a result of the huge oil price increases
you'll note that that, after a brief respite, and a twenty-some cent decline at the pump, per-barrel prices are at almost 45 bucks/barrel now, as high as they've been since Carter's days, when adjusted for inflation
ANNNNNNNNDDDDD guess what? prices haven't gone up at all at the pump!!!!! you know that NEVER happens. usually, when barrel prices are raised, the price in the tanks at gas stations go up almost immediately, reflecting the NEW price of oil, NOT the price already paid by the retailer to the wholesaler
so, two things here
one: oil companies are HOLDING DOWN prices for some reason, which I've never ever seen before. you can just BET the reason for that
two: when they eventually raise them, it'll be high and hard, which will REALLY set the economy in a tailspin, GREATLY exacerbated by the foolish rise in interest rates, which will make it that much more difficult for companies to access capital, much less likely to hire more employees
have fun citizens
thank Mr. Greenspan for much of this
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