new electoral vote count...this page is great and usually up to date

[greenbriar]

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

[livetohike]

1. CA described as "weak" for Kerry!

That's a surprise. There is no way Bush has a chance here, imo.

[Bill McBlueState]

2. interesting that CA is "weak" Kerry

I can't open an excel sheet on this computer... what are California's numbers?

[greenbriar]

5. here ya go

State EV Kerry Bush Nader Date ¡Ý10 5-9 <5 Tie <5 5-9 ¡Ý10 Poll source
Alabama 9 38 52 Jun 30 9 Rasmussen
Alaska 3 33 56 5 Jun 30 3 Dittman Research



California 55 46 38 7 Jul 2 55 San Jose State Univ.
Colorado 9 43 48 3 Jun 18 9 Mason-Dixon
Connecticut 7 50 32 9 Jun 28 7 Quinnipiac Univ
Delaware 3 55 42 3 (none) 3 2000 Election

[RoyGBiv]

6. Kerry up by 8%

You can see a running summary of the numbers by clicking on the "Battleground States" link. It's all about the site's definitions, which are based purely on percentages. Anything less than a 10% advantage is either "weak" or "barely."

In California, 8% translates into a much bigger lead in terms of raw numbers than in other places.

[greenbriar]

7. good way to answer--you are great at this

thanks :)

[RoyGBiv]

8. Thanks...

But you can credit one of my poli-sci professors. He would go ballistic if someone cited a percentage without explaining that percentage's meaning. Every time I see one I hear his voice, ripping to shreds the phys-ed major that sat next to me and never could get it in his head that 10% means nothing unless you answer the question "10% of what?"

That professor was two shakes from being certifiably insane, and he was the best teacher I ever had...

[greenbriar]

3. this one is too funny....

http://www.electionprojection.com/elections2004.html




and he goes on to say why boosh will win

[booksenkatz]

9. What a hilarious site!

Most of his "21 reasons why Asshat will win" are pure cak, but a few of them are valid. Can he explain to us exactly when those 21 reasons will kick in and save their Boy King?

[greenbriar]

4. hehe

Bush Gains Since 2000
NONE

Bush Losses Since 2000
New Hampshire
Florida
Ohio
Missouri
Nevada