Rasmussen: Bush 47% Kerry 44%

[tritsofme]

The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 47% of the vote and Senator John F. Kerry with 44%.

When leaners are included, Bush has 49% and Kerry 48%.

The gain for Bush from yesterday's poll results may be statistical noise or a reaction to the Reagan funeral. Unless the "lead" is maintained for more than three days, it is unlikely to reflect a real shift from a campaign that has been deadlocked for months.

As the nation says farewell to our 40th President today, we note that 67% of Americans have a favorable opinion of Ronald Reagan. A plurality says he will be remembered as one of our greatest President.

The Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm


Reagan bump or oversampling for *?

We'll have to wait a few days to see. Generally the story for Rasmussen has been a sustained lead over three days signifies a trend. And IIRC that has not happened since early March.

[Catholic Sensation]

1. Imus refers to this polling group's work as a Donald Duck Poll

Gallup, LA Times, Zogby all say differently, and all aren't run by morons

[tritsofme]

4. It is good for looking at trends though

because it comes out everyday and the methodology is constant.

[Catfight]

2. whatever...I say give bush a false sense of hope. Then he'll lay off

the mud slinging lies all the time. I still haven't heard any reason to rehire him? I'd sure like the hear how he's made a better world today?

[Teaser]

3. One day statistical noise

Gone in three days.

[WI_DEM]

5. we will see Bush get a short-lived bump

from this week long orgy--but it won't last.

[tom_paine]

6. Phase I of the "October Surprise" is having the desired effect

Can we beat these people? These monsters?

We have no choice.

FAILURE IS NOT AN OPTION!

[LostInAnomie]

7. It's all from the solid week of necrophilia the the media has been...

... carrying out. They have been canonizing Ronnie and positively comparing him to W. Once the afterglow is gone and the bad news starts getting attention again Shrub will be in a world on hurt.

[maxsolomon]

8. it's also a solid week of no bad news for chimpster

iraqi president named, not killed.
no huge disasters in iraq (just the everyday kind)
bush pulls off G8 without humiliating self or country
economy APPEARS to be moving forward
kerry says nothing or nearly nothing, appears to be treading water

with the swing voters, its all surface impressions.

[RummyTheDummy]

9. There's the "Ronnie Bounce" for ya.

I'm convinced we live in a nation dominated by mindless, sentimental idiots.