Bush Losing Ground: Reelect down to 43% (poll)

[HFishbine]

"Looking ahead, would you like to see George W. Bush reelected president in 2004 or would you prefer that a Democratic candidate win the election?"

8/5/03
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Bush: 43%
Dem: 38%
other/unsure: 19%

7/8/03
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Bush: 47%
Dem: 37%
other/unsure: 16%

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. July 14-Aug. 5, 2003. N=1,866 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.5.

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm

[cjbuchanan]

1. Now we just need to get some more of the Unsure

folks to push for a Dem. How can we do it? One voter at a time.

edit spelling

[Starpass]

2. Now we need to get that "stalled" Dem number moving

37-38% for Dems in one sense is not good; but this is also before a Dem has a chance to have the microphone all to himself as Bush's opponent. Therefore, I see enormous possibilities for that Dem number to grow; but I think Bushy boy has shot his wad and his directionality is set on a downward path.

[Poiuyt]

4. Dems need one voice

The American public won't embrace a Democratic candidate until they can see one face, not nine. There's quite a range of political philosphies among the candidates.

Also, we have to hope that Bush doesn't start another war. The public always rallys behind the president in times of war.

I'm still predicting that the terror alert will go to orange or red in Oct '04.

[xequals]

7. North Korea is more likely , IMO

Just a theory, but BushCo could simply work behind the scenes to provoke North Korea, which we'll obviously have to "defend" against. Don't get me wrong, I believe NK is a serious situation, but BushCo will orchestrate something behind the scenes in order get NK to strike first, so it won't involve any drawn out debate like Iraq, and the timing will be perfect for his re-elect.

[Gman]

3. It's a bottomless pit, George

and you're falling into the darkness of it.

[Walt Starr]

5. This is very bad news for an incumbant

Being below 45% is incredibly horrible.

This bodes ill. If this continues, I look for another terra attack inside our borders.

[xequals]

6. Quinnipiac's March poll showed better numbers for us

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x5010.xml

March 6, 2003 -- Unnamed Democrat Edges Bush In '04, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Most Americans Are Not Satisfied With Life Today

By a 48 -- 44 percent margin, American voters say they would vote for the as yet unnamed Democratic party candidate for President over Republican incumbent George W. Bush, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

<snip>

"This month, we find that an unnamed Democrat would edge out President Bush. The political winds are hard to read this early in the game, but we do know that war and a bad economy are not good for anyone -- especially sitting presidents," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

Voters who list the economy/unemployment as the most important problem support the Democratic candidate over Bush 61 -- 32 percent.

<snip>
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We still have a ways to go before our lead gets back to the March level, which was before Bush's numbers got a boost from the war, and before the Dem primary campaign really heated up (the infighting is probably driving down the numbers, which will probably go back up after we nominate a candidate and have a unified message).