Algorithm for Determining the Winners of U.S. Presidential Elections

[OneBlueSky]

well ain't this interesting . . . thought-provoking predictions, including that Howard Dean is a winner . . . hmmmm . . .

http://members.bellatlantic.net/~vze3fs8i/air/Elections.htm

We present an algorithm for determining the winners of United States presidential elections, based on the previous experience of the major party candidates for President and Vice President. The algorithm correctly determines the winner of each of the 54 U.S. presidential elections between 1789 and 2000. Our algorithm predicts that President George W. Bush and Vice President Richard B. Cheney will win the 2004 election unless:

1) the Democratic nominee for President is Howard B. Dean,

2) the Democratic nominee for President is Wesley K. Clark and the Democratic nominee for Vice President has been Vice President for at least two years, a governor for at least five years, or a U.S. Representative for at least five years,

3) the Democratic nominee for President is Richard A. Gephardt and the Democratic nominee for Vice President is a banker, a college or university chancellor or president, or the child of a U.S. Senator, or

4) the Democratic nominee for Vice President is Albert A. Gore, Jr. or John D. Rockefeller, IV, and the Democratic nominee for President has not been divorced, has not been a special prosecutor, and is a Protestant, Deist, Eastern Orthodox, or Catholic.

Although any of the currently declared Democratic candidates for President could, in theory, win in 2004 if they carefully choose their vice presidential candidates, in practice it would be difficult for many of them to find candidates for Vice President with the right combination of governmental and non-governmental experience.

- much more at . . .

http://members.bellatlantic.net/~vze3fs8i/air/Elections.htm

[ahimsa]

1. Well, that clears that up..

Lieberman was a big liability in 2000. Amazing how they accounted for the Supreme Court and all that too.

:eyes:

[0rganism]

2. their predictors could account for corruption and prejudice

Certainly, placing items such as "divorced" and "Jewish" on the negatives list wouldn't make much sense unless they were factors. What if one or more of the Justices who ruled in Bush v. Gore were swayed by Lieberman's Judaism? The pro-curium decision rendered by Scalia certainly didn't convince me on its own merits.

This is great news for the Dems, tho. Two of the front runners (Clark and Dean) can easily beat the score of 113, provided they don't pick Joe Lieberman as a running mate.

[OhioStateProgressive]

3. Clark wins with Kucinich as running mate!(nt)