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marmar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-24-09 07:19 AM
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William Greider: In the Shadow of Hoover
Edited on Tue Nov-24-09 07:26 AM by marmar
from the Nation:



In the Shadow of Hoover
By William Greider

November 23, 2009


While he was in China, Barack Obama made a bizarre declaration that the US government must reduce its budget deficits in order to avoid "a double-dip recession." The remark was alarming because it suggests the president may not fully understand the country's economic predicament. Deficit spending is a cure for our troubles, not the cause. If Obama follows through and actually reduces the red ink, the Great Recession could be born again with new fury.

In an interview with Fox News, the president said: "It is important to recognize if we keep on adding to the deficit, even in the midst of this recovery, that at some point people could lose confidence in the US economy in a double-dip recession." Maybe he didn't mean it. Or was merely nodding to Chinese leaders, our leading creditor, who had scolded him for profligate spending.

Still, his backward logic gave me a chill. If Obama acts on it, he will be walking in the footsteps of Herbert Hoover, not Franklin Roosevelt, and I fear his presidency could be doomed as a result. I know that sounds too strong and brutally unfair, given the president's energetic vision for the country and his early efforts to stimulate economic recovery. But history is often unfair to leaders who do not get their priorities straight and fail to deliver what they promise.

Hoover was the Republican president from 1929 to 1933 and faced a far more dramatic unwinding of the economy after the 1929 stock market crash. In popular memory, he was blamed, somewhat unfairly, for causing the Great Depression. People came to loathe him personally for the repeated pep talks--"Prosperity is just around the corner"--and Democrats ran against "Hoover" for many years after.

Barack Obama is a towering political talent by comparison, but also has troubling similarities. In an age of limited government, Hoover preached "volunteerism" and worked earnestly to persuade business to cooperate with labor and "do the right thing." Obama's softball approach to the financial crisis reveals a similar reluctance to use government's powers to compel results. Instead of directing bailed-out banks to lend more aggressively, Obama asked them nicely. The bankers blew him off. His economic stimulus was a good start, yet clearly insufficient. .........(more)

The complete piece is at: http://www.thenation.com/doc/20091207/greider2




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Doctor_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-24-09 08:43 AM
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1. Completely spot on
And the president is going to be blamed for the second dip, and if the wingers get back in the WH, look out.
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LeftHandPath Donating Member (222 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-24-09 09:48 AM
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2. Debt is not production...
The velocity of new debt in this economy is approaching zero, meaning that every new dollar of debt is having little effect on the real economy.

Debt is the last thing we need at the end of a deflationary credit bubble. The way out of this mess is to cut spending (two wars??, 78 global military bases) and restore our ability to produce. This means we stop rewarding corporations for shipping jobs overseas.

Debt is death.
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trungpa ricochet Donating Member (157 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-24-09 10:42 AM
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3. I agree, LHP, but....
...the number of US military bases is ten times the amount you mention! http://www.alternet.org/story/47998

Nobody can afford this, for many reasons. It is absurd.
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