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Why the Afghan Surge Will Fail - Excellent Analysis- I hope Pres. Obama reads it.

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Krashkopf Donating Member (965 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-17-09 02:38 PM
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Why the Afghan Surge Will Fail - Excellent Analysis- I hope Pres. Obama reads it.
Conn Hallinan | November 12, 2009

Editor: John Feffer

Why the Afghan Surge Will Fail

Before the Obama administration buys into General Stanley McChrystal's escalation strategy, it might spend some time examining the August 12 battle of Dananeh, a scruffy little town of 2,000 perched at the entrance to the Naw Zad Valley in Afghanistan's southern Helmand province.

Dananeh is a textbook example of why counterinsurgency won't work in that country, as well as a case study in military thinking straight out of Lewis Carroll's Alice in Wonderland.

Strategic Towns
According to the United States, the purpose of the attack was to seize a "strategic" town, cut "Taliban supply lines," and secure the area for the presidential elections. Taking Dananeh would also "outflank the insurgents," "isolating" them in the surrounding mountains and forests.

What is wrong with this scenario?

One, the concept of a "strategic" town of 2,000 people in a vast country filled with tens of thousands of villages like Dananeh is bizarre.

Two, the Taliban don't have "flanks." They are a fluid, irregular force, not an infantry company dug into a set position. "Flanking" an enemy is what you did to the Wehrmacht in World War II.

Three, "Taliban supply lines" are not highways and rail intersections. They're goat trails.

Four, "isolate" the Taliban in the surrounding mountains and forests? Obviously, no one in the Pentagon has ever read the story of Brer Rabbit, who taunted his adversary with the famous words, "Please don't throw me in the briar patch, Brer Fox." Mountains and forests are where the Taliban move freely.

The Taliban were also not the slightest bit surprised when the United States showed up. When the Marines helicoptered in at night, all was quiet. At dawn — the Taliban have no night-fighting equipment — the insurgents opened up with rockets, mortars, and machine guns. "I am pretty sure they knew of it in advance," Golf Company commander Captain Zachary Martin told the Associated Press.

Pinned down, the Marines brought in air power and artillery and, after four days of fierce fighting, took the town. But the Taliban had decamped on the third night. The outcome? A chewed-up town and 12 dead insurgents — that is, if you don't see a difference between an "insurgent" and a villager who didn't get out in time, so that all the dead are automatically members of the Taliban.

"I'd say we've gained a foothold for now, and it's a substantial one that we're not going to let go," says Martin. "I think this has the potential to be a watershed."

Only if hallucinations become the order of the day.

To read the rest:

http://www.fpif.org/fpiftxt/6571
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-17-09 02:41 PM
Response to Original message
1. knr!~
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SIMPLYB1980 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-17-09 02:41 PM
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2. I'm sure he has heard all this before,
thing is he has smarter people telling him other things.
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Krashkopf Donating Member (965 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-17-09 02:44 PM
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3. That's what they said about LBJ, too.
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SIMPLYB1980 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-17-09 03:51 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. That's also what they said about FDR too.
Along with all the other BS.
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-17-09 03:12 PM
Response to Original message
4. Recommend.
Those who have their head up their ass about History are condemned to repeat it.

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timeforpeace Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-17-09 03:13 PM
Response to Original message
5. Read it? He likes it so much, he owns it!
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Krashkopf Donating Member (965 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-17-09 10:50 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Sadly, Obama will "own" the Afghan War just like LBJ "owned" the Vietnam war.
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SnakeEyes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-17-09 11:35 PM
Response to Original message
8. I have my thoughts on this...
but this time I'm not about to give my opinion on the success or failure beforehand. heh
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bemildred Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-18-09 12:11 AM
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9. Are "strategic towns" anything like "strategic hamlets"? nt
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Tutankhamun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-18-09 01:06 AM
Response to Original message
10. Good piece. Hallinan clearly has a strong understanding of
the unusual battle conditions our military faces in Afghanistan.
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era veteran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-18-09 07:38 AM
Response to Original message
11. Get Out
Kill Osama another way. That was why we went in. He is in Pakistan anyway. Rumsfeld's idiotic & cheap tactics lost him at Tora Bora almost 8 years ago. The illegal Iraq invasion did not help.
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unhappycamper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-18-09 07:54 AM
Response to Original message
12. We had to destroy the town to save it.
War is Peace.

We've always been at war with _____________.


Get out now.
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-18-09 09:29 AM
Response to Original message
13. Recommend again.
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CrownPrinceBandar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-18-09 05:48 PM
Response to Original message
14. Krashkopf........
Please be aware that DU copyright rules require that excerpts of copyrighted material be limited to four paragraphs and must include a link to the original source.
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