If history repeating itself means the 2010 midterms will resemble the 1934 midterms-- and there are ample reasons to believe they will, as Obama struggles FDR-like to save the country from Republican excesses that brought on economic catastrophe while the GOP redefined itself in the minds of voters as the Grand Obstructionist Party-- then Congress will look very different in 2011. Republicans lost 14 more House seats, giving them a total of 103. But the Senate is where they were really devastated, losing 10 seats and leaving them with a total of 25 seats, an ineffectual and irrelevant rump of a party. One Republican, Robert LaFollette (WI) left the GOP and joined the Progressive Party, while an open seat in Maryland went to a Democrat and Republican incumbents in Connecticut, Indiana, Missouri (Harry Truman won), New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and West Virginia were defeated.
Republicans try putting on a brave face but they are well aware that playing the obstructionist game against a well-liked president-- and betting against the country-- is very dangerous. The anti-Republican trend in congressional races of the past two cycles could easily pick up steam and leave their Senate caucus in the same state it was in after the '34 election: utterly inconsequential.
By publicly threatening to encourage a primary against mainstream moderate Arlen Specter, RNC Chairman Michael Steele has encouraged a primary. Far right extremist loon Pat Toomey, who had settled on a run for governor, has decided to jump into the race against Arlen Specter instead. Toomey is far too right-wing to win a statewide general election in moderate Pennsylvania but he is likely to beat Specter in the closed Republican primary. Hundreds of thousands of moderate Republicans have left the GOP in disgust-- and re-registered as Independents or Democrats-- and would vote for Specter in a general election but now can't vote for him in the primary. Polling shows that Specter is likely to lose. That's one red seat that will probably turn blue.
Republicans are so nervous about the erratic, and some say increasingly senile, Senator from Kentucky, Jim Bunning, that several party leaders, particularly Mitch McConnell and John Cornyn, are actually trying to prevent him for standing for re-election.
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http://downwithtyranny.blogspot.com/2009/03/republicans-stumble-trying-to-put-best_06.html