Obama More Likely to Beat McCain

[ihavenobias]

Before I post the article I wanted to say there is going to be some truly awesome Super Tuesday Coverage tomorrow simulcast at http://bravenewfilms.org/network/5-super-tuesday and www.theyoungturks.com (BNF.org also has a live chat, live blogging, live polling and regular updates, sometimes faster than the particular network you'd normally watch).

Check out this guest list (all times are EST):

SCHEDULE
4:00 Liveblog starts
7:00 Video starts
7:10 Anna Burger, SEIU
7:30 Joe Garofoli, San Francisco Chronicle
7:40 Dolores Huerta
7:50 Cecile Richards, Planned Parenthood
8:10 Melody Barnes, CAP Action Fund
8:50 Jane Hamsher, Firedoglake
9:00 Howard Dean, DNC
9:40 Eli Pariser, MoveOn.org
10:00 Alexandra Acker, Young Democrats
10:10 Joe Conason, Salon.com
10:20 Trailer Premiere, This Brave Nation
10:30 Katrina vanden Heuvel, The Nation
11:30 Todd Beeton, MyDD
11:40 Keith Boykin/Malia Lazu, Daily Voice
12:00 Joan McCarter, Daily KOS

ALSO SCHEDULED TO APPEAR
Senator Kennedy
Arianna Huffington


Obama More Likely to Beat McCain
By Cenk Uygur

I believe the Democratic candidate is likely to thrash John McCain, no matter who it is. Hillary Clinton would beat Senator McCain handily, mainly because of Senator McCain. He has tied himself to this Iraq War and is telling anyone who'll listen that he plans to stay in Iraq for another hundred years. It's hard to imagine a more unpopular position to base your campaign on in the general election.

Though Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton would score easy points against McCain on this count, Obama has an advantage here. Sen. McCain can turn around and accuse Sen. Clinton of being just as complicit in the drive to war because she also voted for the resolution that authorized the Iraq War. Whereas, Obama can say McCain showed poor judgment in going into Iraq in the first place and McCain has no defense to that. He could argue that the Iraq War has gone great, and I hope he does. Good luck with that strategy.

Why would Democrats want to neutralize this obvious advantage they have by picking a candidate that also voted for the war?

Secondly, the right-wing base is very displeased with John McCain. Conservative talk show hosts, pundits and bloggers have spent the last couple of months pummeling McCain. The only thing that can re-energize them to back his candidacy is -- Hillary Clinton.

Now, this is a little unfair to Sen. Clinton because I don't think she has done anything to earn that animus. She's polarizing only because they have spent the better part of two decades attacking her and her husband, and trying to turn the American people against them. Barack Obama might seem polarizing after eight straight years of right-wing attacks, too.

However, fair or unfair, the right-wing can't wait to go to war against Hillary. On the other hand, if it's Obama versus McCain, I think they might dislike McCain more. This has got to be a major liability when you are trying to rally your own side in a general election...

For the rest, click here: http://news.aol.com/newsbloggers/2008/02/01/obama-more-likely-to-beat-mccain/

[liberal N proud]

1. How did a crazed old man whose campaign was dead 2 months ago..

suddenly become so hard to beat?

Never mind, I think I know the answer, the corporate media.


What a f#$@g great political system we have.

[ihavenobias]

5. Well

that and the fact that the other Republican candidates are so awful.

[Briar]

6. Who have

also boosted Obamamania. Must have the two alpha males duking it out!

[ursi]

9. I think it is Mitt's Mormon stuff that is scaring Repugs who are non-Mormon

He's rich enough to buy off the MSM but that doesn't seem to matter.

[katty]

10. yup, the media whores are spinning the all-powerful Mac?!!

[CherylK]

2. I think you are right on all counts!

Obama has the best chance of beating Mccain AND that looks like fantastic Super Tuesday coverage!

[ihavenobias]

7. Thanks, I'm glad you agree! n/t

[niceypoo]

3. A puddle of dried vomit could beat John McCain

He is running as a Bush Clone on a 'war forever' platform, there is no way he can win.

It's that ol' 'electability' chestnut again.

[Hawaii Hiker]

11. Hell, the woo-woo man should be able to beat "stay in Iraq 100 years" McCain

:woohoo:

[katty]

12. yup! 100 years war ?- not a crowd pleaser

[vankuria]

4. Youth vs cranky old stooge

I'd love to see a debate with Obama vs McCain. Can you imagine the stage with the very handsome, youthful and charming Obama giving a heartfelt speech of optimism, against this crusty old crank that has a hard time smiling and whose whole campaign is based on more death and destruction in Iraq. McCain already looks pathetic and against Obama, the Democrats have a sure winner!

[CherylK]

8. That is so funny but so true!

They are polar opposites in that way.

[bluemegan]

13. Polls (except for CNN) show Obama and McCain in virtual tie

I don't think Obama is so "likely to beat him.

[katty]

14. Mac/GOP poster: Grumpy old man