from HuffPost:
Mario Simon
How Much Longer Can America Lead Without Followers?Posted November 27, 2007 | 08:14 PM (EST)
It is not that difficult to conclude that the war in Iraq has failed miserably against its stated purpose of making America safer. Most likely the war has made America less safe. Not only did we not find WMDs, the casus bellum, but also we created a breeding ground for groups whose presence and growth definitely does not help world stability.
At a higher level, so the argument goes, the war was not about WMDs, but about establishing a democratic, friendly, pro-Western state among a minefield of enemies, providing stability and an example for others to follow. For a moment there during the election in Iraq when the turnout was much higher than initially expected, I hoped that that higher order objective was achievable; reality however fell far short of our hopes.
Strategically, the war has increased security risk to the United States via at least three avenues.
The war has eroded the ideological leadership of the United States. For a large part of the 20th century the U.S. was the superpower not only because it produced half of the World's GDP and was militarily and technologically the strongest nation. Kids in the then Soviet bloc would crave to wear Levi's jeans. I remember in trips to Bulgaria and Yugoslavia back then that anything Western, and especially anything American, was desirable just because it was a symbol of a different, a "better" ideology. American music, American movies, the Western lifestyle in general, resonated with people around the World in a way that made the U.S. the unquestionable source of hope for the rest of us. On a transnational level, American agencies such as the CDC, the FDA, and so forth, had an instant credibility with whatever they came out with: If the FDA approved it, it must have been safe, if the CDC pronounced it, it must be fact.
Ideological leadership wanes with the decline of empires, and as such America is a victim of that predicament. The actions of the current administration have sped up that process of decline, and the war has been a serious contributor to this ever faster erosion of global credibility.
The smaller ideological equity of a leader, the harder it is to marshal followers to march on his own drumbeat, making it harder to coordinate security efforts around the globe. Pakistan is a good example of how such erosion has impeded achievement of U.S. security objectives in the past few years in that region. ......(more)
The complete piece is at:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mario-simon/how-much-longer-can-ameri_b_74401.html