... It's in the nature of a suicide bombing campaign that the objectives have to be compelling and widely-shared in the community from which the bombers come. In just about all known cases, these are territorial. The Tamil Tigers, non-Muslim pioneers of the genre, want independence from Sri Lanka. Al-Fatah and Hamas want Israeli settlers out of the West Bank. Bin Laden wanted US soldiers out of Saudi Arabia (and, by the way, we left). The Iraqi insurgents want us out of Iraq.
But what, exactly, do young British men of Pakistani origin want? Britain left Pakistan in 1947. Iraq is a long way from Pakistan, and anyway the British role there is minimal ...
Perhaps there's a reason all this hasn't happened before, and also doesn't seem to happen much on the ground. Perhaps it's not so easy to pull off. So here's the question: Are we dealing with a ring, a network, a global conspiracy of professional terrorists? Or was this a bunch of loud-mouthed amateurs? Here's the problem: if you massively disrupt airline travel every time the police catch amateur loudmouths discussing a plot, you're inviting trouble. As economists say, the supply of amateur loudmouths is infinitely elastic ...
Finally - would the US authorities please not screw this up? This is a British police operation and Blair briefed Bush, so they ought to be singing from the same hymnal. But the British are saying the plot appears home-grown, while the US is saying "Al Qaeda." And the British have said the planes would have been blown up over the Atlantic (destroying all clues), while the US is saying "over American cities" ...
http://commentisfree.guardian.co.uk/james_k_galbraith/2006/08/lets_wait_and_see.html