My beloved native state of Pennsylvania hasn't been much of a national leader in anything since the days of Ben Franklin -- although it's near the top of the pack in lost manufacturing jobs, population stagnation, underperforming schools, and political corruption. But for the second time in two elections, the Keystone State is playing host to a statewide primary election to determine the soul of a political party.
In 2002, probusiness "New Democrat" Ed Rendell won the Democratic nomination for governor (and ultimately the big prize) against old-style, labor-supporting, social conservative Patrick Casey. Rendell is a fiscal moderate in a state where most Democrats are old-fashioned economic liberals from "the Democratic wing of the Democratic Party." He's also a social liberal in a state where many Catholic and African-American voters are far more culturally conservative. But Rendell surprise victory proved that an optimistic, charismatic New Democratic moderate has a future in the liberal-dominated Democratic Party.
PRIMARY GOAL. This year's primary will determine if there's room for a powerful moderate senator in the conservative-dominated Republican Party. Arlen Specter, a four-term incumbent who has turned back right-wing primary challenges before, faces an aggressive, charismatic challenger in the Apr. 27 primary: Allentown Congressman Pat Toomey, a down-the-line social conservative and a committed supply-sider. Toomey has an army of Christian conservatives, movement conservatives, and economic conservatives trying to oust the party's most popular statewide elected official.
Specter's defeat would be a defining moment for the modern conservative movement. Some GOP conservatives say they wouldn't even mind if Toomey lost to the Democratic challenger in the fall. To them, removing an annoying, unreliable Republican from the Congress is their paramount goal.
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