Disaster Model Shows 13% Chance Of A Hurricane Hitting Gulf Spill

[tk2kewl]

Source: DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

By Erik Holm


NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Disaster models suggest a 13% chance of a hurricane hitting the Gulf oil spill this year, with the odds of a direct hit rising amid an active storm season, according to a company that predicts catastrophes.

The models indicate a 7% chance that an intense storm of Category 3 or higher hits the slick, bringing a strong storm surge and "the potential to carry tar deposits far inland," wrote Risk Management Solutions in a report released Wednesday.

That's higher than in an average storm season, when there would be a 4% chance of a direct hit from a strong storm, the company wrote.

Read more: http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20100630-707199.html

[Systematic Chaos]

1. We don't even NEED a "direct hit".

Anything Cat 2 or higher within 250 miles, or any Cat 4 or higher within 500 miles would be a total disruption, I'd think. Hell, even this stupid little minor hurricane headed for the Texas/Mexico border is causing problems.

:eyes:

[Uncle Joe]

2. Kicked and recommended.

Thanks for the thread, tk2kewl.

[truthisfreedom]

3. Wall Street making book on the complete destruction of the South.

Perfect.

[Generic Other]

4. a company that predicts catastrophes

what do you have to do to get a job at a place like that???

[superconnected]

5. 3rd rec.

[bemildred]

6. Well, I feel so much more hopeful now. nt