Source:
Talking Points Memo.....................
According to CBO, average premiums in the individual market would increase 10 to 13 percent because of provisions in the Senate health care bill, but, crucially, most people (about 57 percent) would actually find themselves paying significantly less money for insurance, thanks to federal subsidies for low- and middle-class consumers.
Those are two separate findings, but it seems likely that Republicans will use the former finding to attack reform, claiming it will raise people's premiums, and leave people confused about the second finding, which is actually the one that impacts people's pocket books.
The report finds that for the minority of consumers in the individual market who receive no federal assistance, premiums (and therefore out-of-pocket costs) will increase slightly--on the order of 10 percent--which could prove politically difficult in the years after health care reform takes effect.
Separately, for those who have high-end employer-provided insurance, CBO finds that a new excise tax on high-end policies will have disparate effects on premiums. Those who keep their "cadillac" insurance would end up paying higher premiums, and those who choose instead to change policies would pay lower premiums, but CBO finds that on average, people who have plans susceptible to the 40-percent tax will ultimately be paying less in premiums than they would without health care reform.
You can read the entire report here (PDF).
http://cbo.gov/ftpdocs/107xx/doc10781/11-30-Premiums.pdfRead more:
http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/cbo-health-care-reform-will-lower-out-of-pocket-burden-for-most-consumers.php