AP Poll: Obama leads or tied in 8 crucial states

[underpants]

Source: AP/Yahoo

Less than a week before Election Day, the AP-GfK polls show Obama winning among early voters, favored on almost every issue, benefiting from the country's sour mood and widely viewed as the winning candidate by voters in eight crucial states — Colorado, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia.

"If you believe in miracles," said GOP consultant Joe Gaylord of Arlington, Va., "you still believe in McCain."

The polling shows Obama holding solid leads in Ohio (7 percentage points), Nevada (12 points), Colorado (9) and Virginia (7), all red states won by Bush that collectively offer 47 electoral votes. Sweeping those four — or putting together the right combination of two or three — would almost certainly make Obama president.

In addition, Obama is tied with McCain in North Carolina and Florida, according to the AP-GfK polling, two vote-rich states Bush carried in 2004. Obama is throwing his time and money into the Sunshine State, which has 27 votes, part of a strategy to create many routes to victory and push toward a landslide of 300 or more electoral votes. North Carolina has 15 votes.

Independent polling suggests that New Mexico and Iowa, two traditionally GOP states, are out of reach for McCain. Other red states may be creeping away from him and into contention, including Montana.

Read more: http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081029/ap_on_el_pr/ap_poll_battlegrounds

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FOX NEWS
Top story

"Tightening Race?"
McCain's Pollster Foresees Race 'Too Close to Call'
http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/10/28/mccains-pollster-foresees-race-close/

John McCain's campaign has seen "significant" progress in internal polling in the last week, Republican pollster Bill McInturff said Tuesday, with notable strides among rural voters and soft Democrats.

The campaign has seen the race between McCain and Barack Obama tighten "significantly over the past week," McInturff said in a memo late Tuesday. "All signs say we are headed to an election that may easily be too close to call by next Tuesday."

Public polling data, however, both nationally and in battleground states tell a slightly different story. Obama has a several-point lead nationally and has broken the 50% barrier in many battleground states.

But each campaign conducts extensive polling of its own and, according to McInturff, the McCain campaign has reason to be hopeful.

[nyy1998]

1. Joe Gaylord?

Odd name for a Republican consultant, isn't it?

[cosmicone]

2. Is he related to Joe the Plumber? n/t

[Virginia Dare]

3. McCain is no Mike Eruzione, I can tell you that...n/t

[Phred42]

4. We need to stop buying these polls

They like to tell you that Polling is as much ART as Science.

The term 'art' in this context is used as an excuse, the 'get out of jail free' card. When it's 'ART' you can do anything

Polling companies have been caught over and over again screwing around with their numbers.

Assuming you believe the polls are not rigged....like most of corporate MSM.

Now that they have you buying the polls (because they have been telling you what you wanted to hear) you will be more likely to continue to buy it when the polls start telling you that it's soooo close it's a 'VERTUAL' tie. Of course this will happen.

Think they got control of most MSM and somehow forgot to get control of the Polls? Really?

[TrogL]

5. Sounds like "if you believe in fairies - clap your hands"

I'm not hearing much clapping.

[CreekDog]

6. "NM and IA, two traditionally GOP states" ???????? (from the AP article)

NM: 04 Bush 00 Gore 96 Clinton 92 Clinton
IA: 04 Bush 00 Gore 96 Clinton 92 Clinton 88 Dukakis

Article also refers to Republicans instead as "GOP" (new Republican name for their party)

Fournier strikes again! :eyes: :wtf:

[Xipe Totec]

7. All right, we'll call it a draw