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Gallup Daily: Presidential Race Narrows Slightly - Obama leads by two to seven points among LV

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RedSpartan Donating Member (736 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 12:05 PM
Original message
Gallup Daily: Presidential Race Narrows Slightly - Obama leads by two to seven points among LV
Source: Gallup

PRINCETON, NJ -- The gap between Barack Obama and John McCain in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Saturday through Monday has narrowed slightly, and Obama is now at 49% of the vote to 47% for McCain among likely voters using Gallup's traditional model, and at 51% to 44% using Gallup's expanded model.


Read more: http://www.gallup.com/poll/111568/Gallup-Daily-Presidential-Race-Narrows-Slightly.aspx









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Tesibria Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 12:08 PM
Response to Original message
1. Expected - which is why we MUST GOTV!!!!! nt
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murray hill farm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 12:09 PM
Response to Original message
2. what about those who have voted early?
Are they still polled as likely voters? What about those who use cell phones? Are they counted in the polls? If the answer to either/or both is no, then the poll is not at all accurate.
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lyonn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 12:40 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. Best that the Dems don't get too confident with the polls
Last evening the media was talking almost slam-dunk for Obama. That worried me. Keep the tension going and keep the Dem voters determined to go vote. We don't know who they poll. We can be conned by the pollsters as well as Rove.

Notice the early voters that are shown on tv are minorities. This tells me they don't trust the election system. If they are turned down they may have an opportunity to fix the issue and re-vote??

I feel confident that Obama will not fall down like a groupy chicken when it comes to voter fraud if there is any evidence of evil doing.
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L. Coyote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 12:19 PM
Response to Original message
3. McCain vs. Obama History
McCain vs. Obama History
http://www.dailykos.com/trendlines

09/28 43 50
10/28 43 50
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ChiciB1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 12:37 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Thanks For The Link... Even IF Kos Is Left Of Center! What I Don't
understand is HOW they are getting things so close, when state by state Obama leads for the most part!
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Roland99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 12:44 PM
Response to Original message
6. DAMN! I wish they'd list the sampling demographics! That makes a HUGE difference.
Was it skewed to the South?

Was it skewed to more Republicans or Independents?


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stoge18 Donating Member (328 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 12:49 PM
Response to Original message
7. Those trendlines... Anybody else notice
how they seem to tighten towards the middle of the week and then diverge towards the end of the week? Is there a plausible explanation for that? Even if it's coincidence, it's still odd.
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Doctor_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 12:54 PM
Response to Original message
8. 5 pts to 2 is "slight"?
I wold call it "considerable"
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TheEuclideanOne Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 01:53 PM
Response to Original message
9. GOOD!!!
Let it show that the two are very close to being tied. I was just speaking to somebody who would certainly not vote and wait in long lines if he thought that the vote wouldn't matter. The same thing will apply to other people in other states. It is important that we do not get overconfident and lose votes as a result. I would prefer to be nervous up to the election date and be pleasantly surprised by a victory than to be extremely comfortable up to the election day only to be devastated by an upset.

The only downside is that if it is close, it makes it an easier sell when they rig the voting system.
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