Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Obama 47%, McCain 45%

[fjc]

Source: http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1575

The telephone tracking poll shows neither candidate with a clear advantage in the national horserace...




Read more: http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1575

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I'm wondering why TPM, for example, does not cover the Zogby poll.

[Bicoastal]

1. ZOGM!

[TwilightGardener]

2. Long as Obama is ahead and not trailing, on average, and as long

as the state polls are good, I'm OK.

[fjc]

3. Well I'm not.

Both CBS/NYTimes and Zogby show the race much much closer than most polls. Also, Hotline/Diageo Pres-Tracker: Obama 46%, McCain 44%. Something ain't right.

[TwilightGardener]

6. Well, the best indicator is the RCP average--not all polls will agree, or

favor us. We aren't going to keep going steadily up, up, up everyday unless McStupid shits himself on stage or Princess Per Diem's sex tape comes out on YouTube. There will be ups and downs--sometimes the polls just aren't representative, some people will buy the character attacks on Obama, and some people are just stupid or fickle enough to change their minds according to the day's headlines. If Obama's mostly ahead going into election day, especially in the state polls, we're going to win. If I saw McStupid or his bitchy-ass sidekick doing smart and impressive things, I would worry. But since they're just being nasty and have an incoherent message, I have faith that anything they gain from going negative will ultimately not be enough.

[fjc]

10. Now, that was a great post. Thanks!

[goforit]

16. called the "Rove" influence.

[alcibiades_mystery]

4. Obama leading as usual, and no erosion below 47% of electorate

McCain could win 60% of undecideds and still lose. Awesome!!!

[davekriss]

5. No F*cking Way!

I've been repeating the Spoonamore prediction of 51.2% of the popular vote and a slim 3 electoral vote victory -- I won't be surprised. They stole 2000, 2002 in Georgia, 2004, and 2006 (we should've won even more seats). I fully expect them to steal 2008 through voter supression, vote caging, etc. as well as black box count manipulation. I fully anticipated polls reporting it a "horse race" going into election day via their own manipulative internal algorithms ("adjusting" raw numbers) to aid and abet the theft, their purpose to make a McIdiot victory seem plausible.

Most of all, I hope I'm just a paranoid fool on this because Obama is sooooo right for the job and the times right now. If he loses, I'm off to New Zealand (as IF they would have me!).

[tedoll78]

14. I still think no one will get more than 300EVs.

Perhaps I'm being conservative, but I'm guessing that Obama wins Kerry states, Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, and Virginia. Right now, this is my "worst case scenario" for Obama. If he ends-up winning Missouri, Ohio, Indiana, North Carolina, and/or Florida, then color me pleasantly surprised.

[wowimthere]

7. And this is what I have to say to that poll... LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL

[CGrantt57]

8. Rest Easy, My Friends.

Go here: http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

Enjoy what the polls are really saying.

Regards,

[Fluffdaddy]

13. Lots of info there

[torbird]

9. Zogby = JOKE

He thinks his polls were wrong in 2000 and 2004. Why should 2008 be any different?

[Alter Ego]

11. Kneel before the power of Zog...by!

Seriously, John Zogby sucks, his polling methods suck, and he needs to realize that.

[Juan_de_la_Dem]

12. This is nonsense...They spike the punch to make this race "exciting"

[BklnDem75]

15. Zogby: I'M STILL IMPORTANT!!!

I'll start to worry when it's Gallup or Rasmussen. Thanks. :hi:

[ryanmuegge]

17. Some people are getting way too confident.

This race is close, but less close than it was a month ago.

[traveller]

18. agree

[dana_b]

19. I agree with you

let's HOPE that all the work that is being done on Obama's campaign will be enough to combat the election theivery.

[FVZA_Colonel]

21. That is true (and something I don't want to affect people's drive to volunteer),

but I do think the chances might be a bit better then that. But it could still be close.

[AndyTiedye]

20. Zogby is Polling More Republicans Than Democrats…

…to account for all the voter purges that are going on.