China, Ecuador: Beijing's Latin American Opportunity
November 27, 2007 | 1951 GMT
As the highlight of Ecuadorian President Rafael Correa’s recent trip to Beijing on Nov. 21, he offered China the use of the Manta air base, for which the U.S. Air Force Southern Command’s 10-year usage rights expire in 24 months. While this is by no means a done deal, like Venezuela, Ecuador is explicitly offering itself up as a geopolitical entry point into South America for Beijing. If China accepts the deal, however, it will be more for reasons of trade then for expansionist ambitions.
Analysis
During a visit to Beijing on Nov. 21, Ecuadorian President Rafael Correa offered Chinese investors a “geopolitical window” to use his country as a bridge for accessing markets in South America. While this is not the first time China has been made such an offer by a Latin American nation, it is the first time U.S. geopolitical interests in the region have been so closely brushed up against.
At issue is Eloy Alfaro Air Base in Manta, which the U.S. Air Force Southern Command currently is using under a 10-year agreement signed with Quito in November 1999. Approximately 475 U.S. military personnel are stationed there as part of the U.S. campaign against the illegal drug trade in the “source zone” of Colombia, Peru and Bolivia.
As part of his 2006 presidential campaign, Correa made the renewal of this agreement dependent on the reciprocal stationing of an Ecuadorian air base in Miami — which the United States rejected, of course. Correa now is living up to his word.
To date, Correa only has offered the air base to China. This move is aimed partly at maintaining domestic support, partly at extracting preferential trade access to U.S. markets (something Washington probably will cave in and deliver) and partly at securing Chinese capital for fulfilling Manta’s future role as the largest Sino-Latin American trade transshipment hub on the South American west coast.
More:
http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/china_ecuador_beijings_latin_american_opportunity(Obviously, the number of people ACTUALLY there at any given time is simply beyond anyone's ability to know, for sure.)