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Dow 11,396.84 +4.73 (+0.04%) Nasdaq 2,173.25 +7.46 (+0.34%) S&P 500 1,299.54 +0.62 (+0.05%) 10-yr Bond 4.799 +0.028 (+0.59%) 30-yr Bond 4.94 +0.024 (+0.49%) NYSE Volume 2,602,026,000 Nasdaq Volume 1,754,040,000
4:20 pm : While today's trading paled in importance to a solemn remembrance of the five-year anniversary of the 9/11 terrorist attacks, investors Monday juggled an encouraging sell-off in commodities and mixed sentiment about the tech sector against renewed concerns of decelerating profit growth.
Oil prices fell for a sixth straight day -- the longest losing streak in nearly three years -- and gold prices plunged 3.2% to close under $600 an ounce for the first time since June. That combined retreat eased the worst of inflation fears, but weakness and the loss of leadership from the S&P 500's biggest earnings drivers -- Energy (-3.1%) and Materials (-2.7%) -- created doubts as to whether the S&P 500 can sustain double-digit profit growth. The sell-off in commodities exacerbated ongoing concerns about a slowing economy, especially on the heels of a press report out this morning discussing studies done by some Wall Street investment banks on the prospects for a recession.
The diminishing desire to own commodity-related stocks presented opportunities to rotate into underperforming areas like Technology -- the only sector sporting a loss on the year. The sector was in focus and under pressure early after Dell (DELL 21.19 -0.46) delayed its Form 10-Q filing, suspended share buybacks and cancelled its analyst meeting. However, Texas Instruments (TXN 31.76 +0.76) showing strength ahead of its mid-quarter update, and Freescale Semiconductor (FSL.B 36.84 +5.90) surging 19% to a 52-week high amid reports that a consortium of private equity firms is nearing a deal to acquire it for more than $16 bln, renewed enthusiasm throughout the struggling semiconductor group.
Consumer Discretionary also provided some notable leadership. Aside from another sharp pullback in oil prices easing concerns about consumption patterns, Best Buy (BBY 47.74 +1.43) rallied in anticipation of a strong Q2 earnings report tomorrow while the likes of Home Depot (HD 35.01 +0.73) and Lowes Cos. (LOW 27.84 +0.60) got a lift after Chicago's Mayor Daley vetoed a "living wage" ordinance requiring big box retailers to pay workers more.
In the absence of any scheduled economic reports, the market also looked to more Fed speak to get an idea as to what policy makers will do at the next FOMC meeting on September 20. Among the Fed officials in focus, St. Louis Fed President Poole saying the economy is "really not fragile, it's robust," and reminding investors that inflation is expected to come down in coming quarters, relieved some of the market's worries about interest rates. DJ30 +4.73 NASDAQ +7.46 SOX +2.4% SP500 +0.62 XOI -2.4% NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1620/1367/1.71 bln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1743/1457/1.58 bln
3:30 pm : Stocks are losing some momentum going into the close as the indices now trade in split fashion. The loss of leadership from Financials is acting as the biggest constraint, as several rate-sensitive issues remain under pressure amid rising bond yields while an analyst downgrade on Bank of America (BAC 50.97 -0.69), the fourth most influential S&P 500 component, is weighing even more heavily on both the Financials sector and the broader market. DJ30 -1.50 NASDAQ +6.28 SP500 -0.40 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1622/1338/1.42 bln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1726/1450/1.31 bln
3:00 pm : Not much has changed since the last update as the Nasdaq continues to reflect a more convincing move to the upside than its blue chip counterparts. While chip stocks (e.g. BRCM +1.1%, LLTC +1.6%, MXIM 3.9%, and NVDA +2.2%) continue to get most of the credit behind the Nasdaq's outperformance, renewed enthusiasm across the retail space (e.g. BBBY +4.7%, COST +1.5%, ROST +1.6%, SPLS, +1.6%, and URBN +1.3%), due in part to a sixth straight decline in oil prices, is also lending some notable index support.DJ30 +13.77 NASDAQ +9.59 SOX +2.3% SP500 +1.11 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1554/1388/1.33 bln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1687/1477/1.23 bln
2:30 pm : Blue chip averages are still trading in positive territory but are now clinging to paltry gains. On the Dow, Home Depot (HD 34.88 +0.60) continues to pace the way among the 12 components trading higer, but a 2.5% sell-off in Exxon Mobil (XOM 65.15 -1.66) to two-month lows is putting pressure on the price-weighted index as well as the S&P 500, especially since XOM is the most heavily weighted of the 500 constituents. DJ30 +6.57 NASDAQ +8.03 SP500 +0.34 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1485/1440/1.22 bln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1630/1515/1.12 bln
2:00 pm : Buyers continue to return from the sidelines but the indices are settling into a relatively tight trading range. The market's holding pattern has been further evidenced in the A/D line, as advancing and declining issues on both the NYSE and the Nasdaq remain evenly matched. A 3-to-1 ratio of up to down volume on the Composite, however, paints a much more positive picture for the underperforming tech sector which is close to halving its 2.9% year-to-date decline.DJ30 +18.24 NASDAQ +12.31 SP500 +2.35 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1431/1465/1.13 bln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1561/1582/1.04 bln
1:30 pm : Market extends its reach into positive territory as a brief turnaround in oil prices since the last update helps the Energy sector shave about 1.0% off its intraday decline. Further appreciation in Technology, fueled in part by St. Louis Fed President Poole saying the economy is "really not fragile, it's robust," and reminding investors that inflation is expected to come down in coming quarters, are also helping market internals reflect a more improved tone to trading.DJ30 +21.98 NASDAQ +12.21 SOX +2.6% SP500 +2.79 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1538/1341/1.02 bln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1614/1510/952 mln
1:00 pm : Major averages continue to hold their own above the flat line as six out of 10 sectors are now trading higher. Joining Health Care (+0.4%) and Tech (+0.6%) to the upside within the last hour has been Consumer Discretionary (+0.6%). Renewed enthusiasm for two of the sector's most influential components -- Home Depot (HD 34.75 +0.47) and Lowes Cos. (LOW 27.66 +0.42), following reports that Chicago's Mayor will veto a wage law aimed at Wal-Mart (WMT 46.85 +0.13) and other big box retailers, are among the biggest reasons behind the sector's turnaround.DJ30 +7.53 NASDAQ +6.62 SP500 +1.17 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1572/1277/906 mln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1668/1424/848 mln
12:30 pm : Market kicks the afternoon session with a spike to the upside and are now at their best levels of the day. While Technology is providing the bulk of support, as evidenced by the Nasdaq pacing the way higher among the majors, Health Care has also staged a noticeable turnaround. The sector has gotten a big boost from Aetna (AET 38.47+1.97), which opened down 1.2% but is now up 5.4% after suggesting at a Bear Stearns Healthcare Conference that its Medical Cost Ratio (MCR) would not be as bad as predicted for the rest of the year. Competitors UNH (+1.2%), WLP (+1.6%), HUM (+2.4%) are also at session highs following these comments, making HMOs one of today's best performers.DJ30 +4.12 NASDAQ +3.74 SOX +2.1% SP500 +0.12 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1666/1167/804 mln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1760/1314/746 mln
12:00 pm : A sell-off across the commodities complex has renewed concerns about decelerating profit growth while negative news on the technology front has also weighed on sentiment.
Even though oil prices falling for a sixth straight day and gold prices plunging 4.0% ease the worst of inflation fears, subsequent weakness and the loss of leadership from the S&P 500's biggest profit engines -- Energy (-3.2%) and Materials (-2.4%) -- have also raised worries of decelerating profit growth and are taking a toll on investor confidence. Crude oil futures are down 1.8% at $65.10 a barrel and gold futures for December delivery are below $600 an ounce for the first time since late June as Iran setting a two-month suspension of uranium enrichment program takes some of the momentum out of both commodities as safe-havens.
Couple ongoing concerns about an economic slowdown with negative news in the tech sector and investors have found little incentive to begin the week on an upbeat note. Today's biggest disappointment has come from tech bellwether Dell (DELL 21.29 -0.36), which was off as much as 5.2% after delaying the filing of its Form 10-Q and suspending share buybacks while the EU widening its probe of Intel (INTC 19.27 -0.18) to investigate anti-competitive practices is also weighing the sector.
Among the few stocks in Technology unaffected by the news, as well as the impact higher interest rates are currently having on growth stocks in the space, are Oracle (ORCL 16.23 +0.32), which is at a new 52-week high, and Texas Instruments (TXN 31.82 +0.82), which is showing strength ahead of its mid-quarter update. Also helping chip stocks lend some market support is Freescale Semiconductor (FSL.B 36.37 +5.43), which has surged to a 52-week high amid reports that a consortium of private equity firms is nearing a deal to acquire it for more than $16 bln. DJ30 -34.50 DJTA -0.7% DJUA -0.4% NASDAQ -10.05 NQ100 -0.4% R2K -0.5% SOX +1.6% SP400 -0.6% SP500 -5.61 XOI -2.6% NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1827/949/678 mln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1936/1083/620 mln
11:30 am : Market bounces off its worst levels of the morning even as selling remains widespread across most areas. Among the few areas bucking this morning's overall bearish bias and providing some recent support, most can be found in the Consumer Staples sector, due largely to their defensive characteristics. To wit, Housewares & Specialties (+1.8%) is turning in today's best performance, getting an additional lift following reports that Newell Rubbermaid (NWL 28.39 +1.39) has agreed to sell its Little Tikes unit to MGA Entertainment. Household Products (+0.9%) and Personal Products (+0.8%) are also among today's Top Ten. DJ30 -24.89 NASDAQ -8.19 SP500 -4.65 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1982/758/586 mln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 2140/865/522 mln
11:00 am : More of the same for stocks as the Nasdaq continues to be the hardest hit among the majors. However, a renewed wave of selling since the last update, fueled by further unwinding of a safe-haven bid in the Treasury market which has lifted yields across the yield curve, has contributed to all of the indices slipping to session lows; the yield on the 10-yr note (-08/32) is back at 4.80%. Since higher interest rates spark valuation concerns among growth stocks and greatly impact the borrowing power of smaller companies, the Russell 2000 has fared even worse and is now down 1.0%; the S&P 400 MidCap index is not far behind with a 0.9% decline. DJ30 -46.42 NASDAQ -15.83 SP500 -7.23 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 2012/684/458 mln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 2123/813/386 mln
10:30 am : Major averages continue to languish below the flat line, as selling remains widespread across most areas. It is worth noting though that Technology has recently turned positive. However, a subsequent improvement has not been seen on the tech-heavy Nasdaq since much of the sector's turnaround can be attributed largely to strength in the chip space, led by a 17% gain in Freescale Semiconductor (FSL.B 36.22 +5.28). The NYSE-listed stock has surged following a report saying a consortium of private equity firms is nearing a deal to acquire it for more than $16 bln.DJ30 -27.13 NASDAQ -13.76 SOX +1.3% SP500 -6.25 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1799/764/302 mln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1963/857/238 mln
10:00 am : Equities are still on the defensive as nine out of 10 economic sectors remain in negative territory. Pacing the way lower and acting as the biggest drag on the market is Energy (-2.3%), as a 1.5% decline in crude oil futures to $65.30 a barrel questions the sector's ability to keep the S&P 500 on track for another quarter of double-digit profit growth. To wit, of today's 10 worst performing S&P industry groups, five are linked directly to Energy. Albeit among the least influential sectors on the S&P, Materials posting a noticeable 1.8% decline is also exacerbating worries about slowing earnings growth.DJ30 -25.12 NASDAQ -11.61 SP500 -5.33 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1636/748/152 mln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1760/809/82 mln
09:40 am : As if the five-year anniversary of the 9/11 terrorist attacks wasn't already conjuring up a rather somber tone for trading, ongoing concerns about an economic slowdown and negative news on the technology front are preventing stocks from extending Friday's gains. While oil prices falling for a sixth straight day and gold prices plunging 2.7% ease the worst of inflation fears, declines across the commodity complex also raise worries of decelerating profit growth, which are taking a toll on this morning's underlying tone. Couple that with Dell (DELL 20.55 -1.10) tumbling 5.0% after delaying the filing of its Form 10-Q and suspending share buybacks and investors are finding little incentive to begin the week on an upbeat note. DJ30 -20.02 NASDAQ -11.02 SP500 -3.76 NASDAQ Vol 98 mln NYSE Vol 66 mln
09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -4.6. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -12.0.
09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -4.2. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -12.2. Stage remains set for the indices to stumble out of the gate, with particular nervousness being attributed to concerns throughout the tech sector. Dell (DELL) delaying the filing of its Q2 Form 10-Q and suspending share buybacks stands out as the biggest news item while the EU widening its probe of Intel (INTC) to investigate anti-competitive practices and Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) saying the Justice Dept has begun an informal probe into controversial board leaks are also weighing on overall sentiment.
08:30 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -4.0. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -12.0. Futures indications have improved somewhat but continue to trade below fair value. Meanwhile, investors are digesting remarks from Boston Fed President Cathy Minehan, but it's still too early to tell if her unbalanced view on inflation and the pace of economic activity will have any impact on trading since she is not a voting member of the FOMC this year. To wit, the 10-yr note remains unchanged to yield 4.77%.
08:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -5.6. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -14.0. Futures versus fair value suggest stocks will kick off the week on a downbeat note. With no specific corporate news items and a lack of economic data on the docket to perhaps set a better tone for trading, oil slipping for a sixth straight day toward $65 a barrel and gold prices falling below $600 an ounce are exacerbating concerns about an economic slowdown, especially on the heels of a press report out this morning discussing studies done by some Wall Street investment banks on the prospects for a recession.
06:26 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -7.0. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -15.3.
06:25 am : FTSE...5838.00...-41.30...-0.7%. DAX...5762.42...-33.08...-0.6%.
06:25 am : Nikkei...15794.38...-286.09...-1.8%. Hang Seng...16948.59...-197.17...-1.2%.
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