Tropical Storm Florence forms in the Atlantic

[Torgo Johnson]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/051442.shtml

...THE SIXTH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL
TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.3 WEST OR ABOUT 935
MILES...1510 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

FLORENCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...17.3 N...47.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL0606W5_sm2+gif/144631W_sm.gif

[Virginia Dare]

1. Conditions favorable for an east coast landfall...n/t

[sueragingroz]

22. It's pretty much headed straight for Bermuda

Bermuda is battening down!

[ms liberty]

2. Oh. Lovely. Too much to hope she takes a hard right turn, I guess! n/t

[Benhurst]

3. No, she doesn't look Republican to me.

Couldn't help myself. :spank:

[Ragin_mad]

4. Model predictions

[sueragingroz]

23. She takes a hard right turn

And I lose my roof.

Be careful what you wish for :)

[SoCalDem]

5. I'm guessing North Carolina and then hugging the coast

as a storm.. I hope that it curls north sooner, rather than later

[Blackhatjack]

7. N.C. still remembers FRAN, and wont take FLORENCE lightly...

Hurricanes have a nasty habit of doing the opposite of what forecasters think they will do once they are in striking range of land.

Moving just a little North today is the same as a storm making a 90 degree turn to the North later.

[halobeam]

6. Unless it does curl up north sooner, rather than later....

I'll be out of here BEFORE I know whether or not it could hit NY. Thats really the only way to get off Long Island in time. Once it's announced and they know for sure that it would hit NY, it would be crazy to think you could drive through Manhattan and get out of its way

[Renew Deal]

8. I also live on LI.

There has been so much hurricane paranoia this year. Everyone is talking about the next great NY storm. Maybe they're attracting it.

[Virginia Dare]

11. The history channel ran a program about it last week...

the one in 1938. Very scary stuff.

It was estimated that 2 BILLION trees were downed in New England during the storm.

Contemplate that one for a moment.

[Renew Deal]

12. I saw that.

It was actually very good. There was also Mega Disasters, It Could Happen Tomorrow, and some other shows. Then All State stopped taking on policies for LI. It's like we want the storm to come.

BTW, this weekends little storm took down lots of trees and branches. It was a small mess. My friend and I were commenting on how a hurricane might really make a mess.

[Virginia Dare]

15. same here in Northern VA...

and lots of people without power in the Richmond area. We have a friend who has a house in the Outer Banks of NC and apparently they were hit pretty hard as well. More to come. Yikes!

[noonwitch]

17. I'm starting to think the media wants a devastating hurricane to hit

They seem positively gleeful at the prospect. This is not limited to FOX, either, CNN's people seem excited, too.

Don Henley was right about the media.

[Renew Deal]

21. Weather channel, History Channel, Discovery Channel

I have seen it on all 3. I think History and Discovery is the same company.

[skids]

9. Yeah that's probably your best bet.

There's another one developing right behind it.

[Skink]

10. This one looks like Andrew.

[Renew Deal]

13. How do you figure?

I watch these storms closely and I don't see that yet.

[Baclava]

14. Exactly...Kee-rist!!! It's half an ocean away!

Godammed landlubbers should just shut the fuck up already about every storm that shows up.

It's called Hurricane SEASON for a reason.

Get one close in the Gulf and I'll pay attention.

[Skink]

16. Andrew just mosied along.

[sueragingroz]

24. This is more like Fabian

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Fabian

[Stuckinthebush]

18. Looks like it has the strong potential to blow back out to sea

I wouldn't be too worried yet.

[LynneSin]

19. BTW - there are two more forming behind it

:cry:

[rayofreason]

20. Latest model predictions

have it veering to the north, then northeast. It will be harmless.