HELENA — Political analyst Stuart Rothenberg changed his assessment of Montana's U.S. Senate race from a toss-up to one that leans toward a Democratic takeover Tuesday.
Rothenberg's downgrading of incumbent Republican Sen. Conrad Burns' chances in his race against Democrat Jon Tester followed a similar move by Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Sabato's judgment was more critical: His most recent evaluation views Burns' seat as a "probable" pickup for the Democrats in November.
"Conrad Burns just can't survive many more gaffes," Sabato said Tuesday. "He's already behind, he's already in trouble, and this just adds to the controversy surrounding him."
Sabato was referring to another recent foot-in-mouth incident involving Burns. The senator got in trouble last month for confronting a Virginia hotshot crew in the Billings airport and accusing them of not working hard enough. He later apologized. On Tuesday, Democrats released remarks by Burns that they taped during a June meeting in which he joshes about whether a maintenance worker is an illegal immigrant. Burns spokesman Jason Klindt said the worker in question is here legally.
http://www.greatfallstribune.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20060823/NEWS01/608230311/1002An August 10
Rasmussen poll showed Tester and Burns tied at 47%.