Latest poll tips toward Kaine (VA Gov)

[brooklynite]

The Virginia governor's race is heading toward a photo finish.

Democrat Timothy M. Kaine has inched to a 1 percentage point lead over Republican Jerry W. Kilgore in the latest Times-Dispatch Poll, which showed Kilgore up by 2 percentage points two weeks ago.

Kaine is pulling 45 percent; Kilgore, 44 percent. Independent H. Russell Potts Jr. has faded to 4 percent. Seven percent are undecided.

The Kaine-Kilgore contest can be viewed as a statistical dead heat because Kaine's edge is within the poll's margin of error, 4 percentage points in either direction.

The newspaper's fourth and final survey of the hard-fought, neck-and-neck campaign provides few clues to its outcome. One potentially telling finding: Independent voters are breaking solidly to Kaine.

http://www.timesdispatch.com/servlet/Satellite?pagename=RTD%2FMGArticle%2FRTD_BasicArticle&c=MGArticle&cid=1128767939356&path=!news!politics&s=1045855935264

[demnan]

1. Yeeeeeeaaagggggghhhh!

Big Howard Dean yell for Tim Kaine!

[rainy]

3. Um, same thing happened with Kerry, FIX the MACHINES

I'm afraid the race is already decided by those who will be counting the votes. We all know how that will turn out. How we continue to be so robot like when voting on these machines hoping that this time things will turn out differently really baffles me? We are fools to think that Kilgore hasn't already won because his party will be doing the counting.

[brooklynite]

7. Let's not obsess on this point...

Don't forget, that, amazingly enough, VA has a Democratic administration...

[Tiggeroshii]

14. If they have a Democratic Governor, my guess is they have a Democratic Sec

of State, as well. If that's the case,Democrats wil be counting the votes...

[Greeby]

2. Whens the vote? It doesn't say here

I'm trying to keep track of the pre-06 elections. This, Corzine in the NJ Gov race, and CA-48 (unless that one has happened already)

[rainy]

4. Next Tuesday the 8th

[Zynx]

5. If Kaine is picking up independents like they say he is, then he will win.

He will need about a 12 point win among independents to overcome the party registration edge of Republicans.

[godai]

6. Hopefully one small step towards sanity

if Kaine is elected. I'll try to avoid the touch screen machines, which I was directed to for last year's election. Not sure why Dems can get elected Governor in VA but maybe it will happen again.

[Mark E. Smith]

8. Rasmussen Gives Kaine A 3 Point Lead Today

49 to 46% for Kilgore, with Pottsy at 2%.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com

[Zynx]

9. Every recent poll then shows Kaine with some lead, however small.

That shows that he has the big mo going into the election.

[Walt Starr]

10. Ahhhhhh, they're keeping it within the margin of error

All the better to steal it, my dear.

I don't trust Republicans. Not at all., It's an evil Party and there WILL be dirty tricks.

When a race is this close, better keep both eyes on every last Republican in the state. They are working towards the implementation of shenanigans this very moment.

[abluelady]

11. With Kerry coming out saying 2004 was a fraud

maybe we will see Kaine going the extra mile if the race is as close as it seems to be and he is not the declared winner. And if he doesn't, what does that tell us. Any Dem candidate who doesn't fight the black hole machine should not be in office nowadays.

[Walt Starr]

12. Kerry touching anythign related to voter fraud would be like

Ken Lay auditing a questionable corporation's books.

[SaveElmer]

13. Sorry to be a downer...

But I am really afraid this is not enough. Pre-election polls for governor have historically overstated the true margin in years where the Democrat wins. Warner was ahead by 10 points in the last pre-election poll 4 years ago and only won by 5. Wilder was ahead by 10, and won by less than 1 point. I'm really afraid Kaine is actually down 3 or 4 in this one.

Here' to hoping I am wrong!!!

[abluelady]

15. What was worse

were the exit polls. They had Wilder up way high and he barely won. I am hoping that that was just because the racists were embarrassed and the exit polls will be more accurate this year.

[SaveElmer]

16. Yeah...

I definitely think it was exaggerated with Wilder running...and I think you are exactly right about the racists being embarrased!!