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Iraq invasion may be remembered as start of the age of oil scarcity

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True_Blue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-20-05 02:07 PM
Original message
Iraq invasion may be remembered as start of the age of oil scarcity
Instead of inaugurating a new age of cheap oil, the Iraq war may become known as the beginning of an era of scarcity.

Two years ago, it seemed likely that Iraq, with the world's third-largest petroleum reserves, would become a hypercharged gusher once U.S. troops toppled Saddam Hussein. But chaos and guerrilla sabotage have slowed the flow of oil to a comparative trickle.

The price of crude on global markets hit an all-time record Friday, and oil experts say U.S. consumers are likely to keep feeling the pinch.

"Global supply hasn't kept up, and it isn't likely to in the near future, and one of the causes is Iraq," said John Lichtblau, chairman of the Petroleum Industry Research Foundation in New York.

more....
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2005/03/20/MNGJKBS9PM1.DTL
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Deja Q Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-20-05 02:10 PM
Response to Original message
1. But high oil prices keep 'American' oil companies rich!
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lala_rawraw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-20-05 02:11 PM
Response to Original message
2. Nice to see...
That it only took 30 years for our leaders to figure this out. Perhaps in another 30 years, if this planet can keep up, our leaders will figure out that perhaps an alternate energy source is needed, no?
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w4rma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-20-05 02:21 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Depends if our current "leaders" care about this nation or it's citizens.
I think that they do not care about this nation and only care about the ultra-wealthy stock holders who flit from country to country and really have no nation to call home.
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izzie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-20-05 03:04 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Why are they fighting it so?
it would be just another way for them to get and make money. Some thing else must be up.
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NEOBuckeye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-20-05 04:48 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. There is no easy substitute for Oil
From: http://www.energybulletin.net/4791.html

Why is selecting and developing alternatives to oil so very important? Consider three reasons: Oil is a hydrocarbon whose natural product of combustion is carbon dioxide, which increases global warning. Oil is easily the number one source of energy, meeting 38.7 percent of the world’s demand, and 63 percent of oil reserves are located in the volatile Middle East. The world production of oil will peak and begin to decline in the next several years while demand continues to grow, leaving us with a permanently increasing oil shortage.

Oil-based fuels are unique in that they provide the portability and energy density transportation requires. Vehicles and planes, for example, must be able to carry enough fuel to provide needed power and range; they can’t be tethered by a several-hundred-mile-long electric cable or natural gas hose. Oil is special in that it is much better suited for transportation than other sources of energy, including uranium, coal, natural gas, rivers, wind, and the sun. Oil-based fuels provide over 97% of fuel for transportation.

When should we organize and accelerate research and development (R&D) efforts for alternatives to oil? The time is now. The oil shortage will come very soon relative to the lead times for solving the many technical and social problems of oft-mentioned alternatives. Many of the technical problems require research, which by its very nature and definition has an indefinite completion date. We are already late in working aggressively to decide on alternatives to oil. If we continue to delay, the coming oil shortage will bring very high prices, lower standards of living, reduced competitiveness, worsening of an already bad balance of trade, and shortages of fuels and petrochemical products.

Aren’t we doing R&D on alternatives now? Yes, but we are not getting results fast enough. Hydrogen, for example, is often touted as our savior. However, hydrogen poses some huge hurdles. It can be made from natural gas, but this source is also a hydrocarbon that is in limited supply and that produces carbon dioxide. It can be extracted from water by electrolysis, but this process is very energy intensive. Where do we get the energy for electrolysis? Let’s say we do produce the hydrogen. Then it has to be compressed as a gas to very high pressures and carried in a strong tank or liquefied to below -400° F and carried in a well-insulated tank. Both processes are energy intensive and perhaps dangerous. Do we use fuel cells? If so, they need a lot of work to be competitive in price with engines. How long would it take and how much would it cost to build the cars and the refueling infrastructure if we were to decide that hydrogen is ready for the big time?

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lala_rawraw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-20-05 05:32 PM
Response to Reply #4
9. Because much like the Social Security
transfer process cost would be in the trillions, oil companies would need to shell out probably that much to transfer to a new energy source.
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Wright Patman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-20-05 03:06 PM
Response to Original message
5. Interesting that they have dropped Iraq
to No. 3 in oil reserves.

For the last 20 years they've been saying it's No. 2 behind only Saudi Arabia and on the eve of the invasion many of the salivating oil execs were saying it might even have more than SA because its fields had never really been fully explored.

These oil industry types also used to say that it was vitally important to avoid starting wars in areas dense with petrochemical facilities because of the ease of sabotage. D'oh!

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NEOBuckeye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-20-05 04:50 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Some believe that Iran is the new #1 in Oil Reserves
With far more Oil than Saudi Arabia ever had. Any wonder why the BFEE and NeoCons are pushing so hard for an invasion?
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FlemingsGhost Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-20-05 04:51 PM
Response to Original message
8. It marks the fall of the American empire.
Watch it come crashing down: "Timmmmmm-bbbbbbbbeeeerrrrrrrrr!"
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bemildred Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-20-05 06:24 PM
Response to Original message
10. Geeee. Who could have predicted this????
:puke:
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