Reply #4: Interesting - and it may reflect more on their "likely voter" model than on the race [View All]

[karynnj]

For the last year, we have heard of this huge wave of republican enthusiasm. Yet, in more elections than not, it failed to materialize.

They are putting a lot of weight on what happened in VA, NJ, and MA. I know less than nothing about VA, but it was not a wave of enthusiasm that led to the wins in NJ. I live in NJ, in Christie's county. There was no wave of enthusiasm for him or his believes. What there was was a strong dislike - even among Democrats for Corzine. This was partly self inflicted as he did not try to run a high road campaign based on the choices (good ones I think) he made when the budget needed cutting. He ran a very negative campaign.

MA, likewise, was not a sudden repudiation of Kennedy, but a very lack luster candidate who ran an awful campaign - and a good looking guy who the media pushed - and is still pushing.

Not to mention, given that this is "likely voters", it seems odd that the undecideds are so high.