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Electoral Votes in the South, and why Edwards has advantage... [View All]

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Blackhatjack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-06-07 11:19 AM
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Electoral Votes in the South, and why Edwards has advantage...
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While it is possible for a Democrat to win the General Election without winning the South, the numbers clearly show that a Democratic win in Nov 2008 would be more likely if the Democratic Nominee can compete or win the Southern states. IMHO Edwards can do this and that makes him more electible than the other Democratic candidates.

Here are the numbers:

Electoral Votes in the South Up For Grabs...
Alabama 9
Arkansas 6
Georgia 15
Louisiana 9
Miss 6
N. Car 15
S. Car 8
Tenn 11

Total 79

Total Number Needed to Elect 270 out of 538


A Non-Edwards Dem Candidate Needs 270 out of 459 = 59% of Non-South Electoral Votes to win


IF Edwards competes evenly in the South He needs 270 of 538 = 50% of Non-South Electoral Votes

If Edwards wins the South, he needs 191 (270 - 79) = 191 of 459(41.6%) of Non-South votes


This is why Edwards is the most electible candidate we can nominate.
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